Table 4.
True θ | Mean | SD | 2.5 %tile | 97.5%tile |
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
λβ,1 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.01 | 1.19 | 1.22 | 0.01 | |
λβ,2 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.01 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 0.01 | |
|
0.09 | 0.09 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.01 | |
|
0.09 | 0.09 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.01 | |
|
0.09 | 0.09 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.01 | |
μβ,high | 2.50 | 2.50 | 0.05 | 2.41 | 2.59 | 0.05 | |
ψβ,high | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.05 | 0.40 | 0.58 | 0.05 | |
μβ,low | −2.50 | −2.50 | 0.05 | −2.60 | −2.41 | 0.05 | |
ψβ,low | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.05 | 0.39 | 0.59 | 0.05 | |
τhigh | 1.06 | 0.10 | 0.83 | 1.21 | 0.07 | ||
bα,high&low | 0.12 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 0.01 | ||
bβ,high | 0.20 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 0.27 | 0.02 | ||
ψζ,high&low | 0.12 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.01 | ||
τlow | −1.06 | 0.10 | −1.22 | −0.84 | 0.07 | ||
bβ,low | −0.20 | 0.03 | −0.28 | −0.16 | 0.02 | ||
τmed | −0.00 | 0.24 | −0.52 | 0.47 | 0.15 | ||
bα,med | 0.18 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.31 | 0.06 | ||
ψζ,med | 0.19 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.31 | 0.06 | ||
, logit intercept for Rhigh β | 0.00 | −0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 | 0.01 | 0.09 | |
, Δ LO(high β → high) | 2.84 | 3.99 | −2.02 | 13.93 | 2.24 | ||
, Δ LO(high β → low) | 2.74 | 3.76 | −2.21 | 11.84 | 2.34 | ||
, logit intercept for LO(low β → high) | −1.99 | 3.84 | −11.75 | 2.93 | 2.09 | ||
, logit intercept for LO(low β → low) | −1.93 | 3.63 | −10.85 | 3.02 | 2.23 | ||
, α → ΔLO(high β → high) | 1.74 | 1.01 | 0.48 | 4.17 | 0.65 | ||
, α → ΔLO(high β → low) | −1.75 | 1.11 | −3.94 | −0.45 | 0.66 | ||
, α → LO(low β → high) | 1.01 | 1.12 | −0.69 | 3.95 | 0.69 | ||
, α → LO(low β → low) | −0.88 | 1.10 | −3.72 | 0.81 | 0.69 | ||
Pr(high β → high)a | 0.41 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.60 | 0.10 | ||
Pr(high β → low) | 0.39 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.58 | 0.10 | ||
Pr(high β → med) | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.42 | 0.09 | ||
Pr(low β → high) | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.12 | ||
Pr(low β → low) | 0.20 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.12 | ||
Pr(low β → med) | 0.62 | 0.24 | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.18 |
MSEM-RS = mixture structural equation model with regime-switching; MC = Monte Carlo; True θ = True parameter values; Mean = Average point estimate for each parameter across MC runs; 2.5%tile and 97.5%tile = 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles for each parameter across MC runs; estimate for a parameter across MC runs.
The class and transition probabilities were computed using Equations 8, 9 and 12 with αi set to 0.