. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Mar 1.

Published in final edited form as: J Public Health Manag Pract. 2016 Mar-Apr;22(2):120–128. doi: 10.1097/PHH.0b013e31828ebf8c

Table 5.

Sensitiveity of Model Forecasts to Alternative Policy Assumptions LHD 2014 Revenues (in 2010 dollars)

Base case assumptions	Dollar amount		Per Capita
Base case assumptions	$162,487,581		$26.62

Alternate Policies	Change in Total Revenue		Change in Per Capita Revenue
Alternate Policies	Dollar Amount	Percentage	Dollar Amount	Percentage
Raise property tax levy limit from 0 percent to 2 percent	$629,647	0.39%	$0.10	0.39%
Increase Shared Revenue appropriations by 10 percent	$985,446	0.61%	$0.16	0.61%
Increase LHD share of parent government revenue by 5 pecent over base case	$3,863,066	2.38%	$0.63	2.38%
Reduce base case percentage cut in federal aid by half	$2,194,701	1.35%	$0.36	1.35%
Double base case percentage cut in federal aid	-$4,389,402	-2.70%	-$0.72	-2.70%
Increase revenue from service fees by 15 percent	$4,329,856	2.66%	$0.71	2.66%
Increase state revenue, donations, and private grants by 10 percent	$1,170,088	0.72%	$0.19	0.72%