Table 1.
Predictions Over Time in the Reference Scenario and the Self-Testing Scenario
| Variable | 2011 DHS Dataa | Model Estimate |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Reference Scenario |
Self-Testing Scenario |
||||
| 2015 | 2025 | 2035 | 2025 | 2035 | ||
| HIV prevalence, % | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| Ever tested for HIV, % | 50 | 66 | 77 | 79 | 80 | 83 |
| Tested for HIV in the past year, % | 28 | 39 | 48 | 50 | 54 | 57 |
| Received HIV infection diagnosis, % | … | 85 | 91 | 93 | 92 | 93 |
| HIV-positive patients receiving ART, % | … | 56 | 66 | 69 | 66 | 69 |
Model estimates are median values of all simulations.
Abbreviations: ART, antiretroviral therapy; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus.
a Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) [15].