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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Int J Public Health. 2015 May 16;60(5):573–588. doi: 10.1007/s00038-015-0678-7

Table 2.

Estimated overall predictive probability range and plausible value range for each outcome in the National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions (NESARC) (USA, 2001–2005)

Prospective
 Incidence
Overall predictive
probability (%)		 Plausible value
range (%)		 Overall predictive
probability (%)		 Plausible value
range (%)
Heart attack 0.9 0.5–1.9 0.8 0.4–1.9
Heart attack confirmed 0.9 0.6–1.2 0.8 0.6–1.1
Overweight 63.9 48.5–76.9 22.10 18.8–25.9
Obese I 27.7 15.9–43.6 9.4 7.1–12.4
Obese II 9.9 4.5–20.5 3.1 3.1–4.3
Obese III 3.7 1.6–8.0 1.7 1.2–2.3
Anxiety 4.3 1.9–9.6 3.8 2.7–4.0
Smoking 25.7 12.5–45.7 4.0 1.5–10.4
High blood pressure 25.40 13.8–42.0 11.3 9.3–13.6