Table 1. Compartmental models of historical Ebola virus outbreaks.
Feature | Model |
||
---|---|---|---|
Chowell et al. (1) | Lekone and Finkenstädt (4) | Legrand et al. (5) | |
Outbreak* |
DRC 1995, Uganda 2000† |
DRC 1995‡ |
DRC 1995, Uganda 2000§ |
Assumed | |||
Homogeneous random mixing | Yes | Yes | Yes |
All human-to-human contact |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Considered | |||
Nosocomial transmission | No | No | Yes |
Burial transmission |
No |
No |
Yes |
No. transmission parameters |
2 (preintervention decays to postintervention) |
1 (decay to 0) |
3 (community, nosocomial, burial) |
Distribution | Exponential | Geometric | Exponential |
Underreporting accounted for | No | No | No |
*The DRC outbreak was caused by the Zaire strain; the Uganda outbreak was caused by the Sudan strain. DRC, Democratic Republic of Congo. †Data sources: DRC 1995 (2), Uganda 2000 (3). ‡Data source: DRC 1995 (2). §Data sources: DRC 1995 (2,6–8), Uganda 2000 (3,9).