Table 1. Results of binary classification tests for Peruvian districts, 2005–2012 –Level 1.
Binary Classification Tests | Classification Criteria | Classification Outcome | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Test # | Weather Component | Weather Condition | Minimum Annual Duration (weeks) | Sensitivity (True Positives Identified) | Specificity (True Negatives Identified) | Overall Misclass Rate |
Best performing classification using multiple weather components combined: | ||||||
1 | Minimum temperature | >14°C | 33 weeks | 0.95 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
& Mean temperature | >22°C | 7 weeks | ||||
Best performing classification using individual weather components: | ||||||
2 | Mean temperature | >22°C | 11 weeks | 0.91 | 0.95 | 0.06 |
3 | Minimum temperature | >15°C | 32 weeks | 0.91 | 0.95 | 0.06 |
4 | Mean humidity | >72% | 17 weeks | 0.88 | 0.83 | 0.16 |
5 | Minimum humidity | >56% | 8 weeks | 0.82 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
Results of classification of 1557 Peruvian districts into dengue-positive and dengue-negative status for 2005–2012 are shown for best performing classification using a combination of weather criteria and best performing classification using individual weather components as inputs.