Table 4. Projected Costs of Excess ED visits on hot days (Tmax ≥ 35 °C) per Climate Change and Population Growth scenario (AU$, 2012–13 prices).
| Illness & Age | Base (1.8 hot days) | Projection Year & Climate Scenario | Projected hot days | Population Growth Scenario |
% Change compared to Base |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | B | A | C | B | A | ||||
| All-cause 0–64 | 61,330 | 2030 Low emission | 1 | 50,997 | 55,323 | 58,424 | −16.8 | −9.8 | −4.7 |
| 2030 High emission | 3 | 152,990 | 165,969 | 175,272 | 149.5 | 170.6 | 185.8 | ||
| 2060 Low emission | 2 | 119,527 | 158,903 | 184,366 | 94.9 | 159.1 | 200.6 | ||
| 2060 High emission | 13 | 776,926 | 1,032,867 | 1,198,380 | 1166.8 | 1584.1 | 1854.0 | ||
| All−cause 65+ | 20,442 | 2030 Low emission | 1 | 27,581 | 27,518 | 28,112 | 35.1 | 34.7 | 37.7 |
| 2030 High emission | 3 | 82,743 | 82,553 | 84,335 | 305.2 | 304.2 | 313.0 | ||
| 2060 Low emission | 2 | 96,162 | 101,696 | 121,001 | 370.9 | 398.0 | 492.5 | ||
| 2060 High emission | 13 | 625,052 | 661,023 | 786,506 | 2960.6 | 3136.8 | 3751.2 | ||
| TOTAL | 81,752 | 2030 Low emission | 1 | 78,578 | 82,841 | 86,536 | 1.0 | −3.8 | −9.8 |
| 2030 High emission | 3 | 235,733 | 248,522 | 259,607 | 203.0 | 188.7 | 170.5 | ||
| 2060 Low emission | 2 | 215,689 | 260,598 | 305,367 | 240.1 | 191.4 | 132.2 | ||
| 2060 High emission | 13 | 1,401,978 | 1,693,890 | 1,984,887 | 2110.5 | 1794.1 | 1409.4 | ||