Table 1. The effects, per year, upon the UK population of a reduction from 1% to 0% in trans fatty acids of daily energy intake.
Numbers of Deaths prevented or postponed (DPP), life years gained (LYG), Reductions in Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI) Admissions, Reductions in Unstable Angina (UA) Admissions and reductions in Heart Failure (HF) admissions. Stratified by age and gender. Reduction in TFA intake by 0.5% daily energy yield half of the below gains.
TFA | Age | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1% reduction | Totals | 95% CI | 95% CI | <55 | 55–75 | >75 | |
DPP | 3900 | 3325 | 4453 | ||||
Men | 2400 | 265 | 625 | 1471 | |||
Women | 1500 | 64 | 203 | 1257 | |||
LYG | 37000 | 30106 | 44670 | ||||
Men | 20000 | 6721 | 7012 | 6014 | |||
Women | 17000 | 2381 | 4198 | 10718 | |||
AMI admissions reductions | 1500 | 1320 | 1761 | ||||
Men | 1000 | 359 | 431 | 237 | |||
Women | 500 | 82 | 169 | 263 | |||
Unstable Angina admissions reductions | 6800 | 5865 | 7828 | ||||
Men | 4100 | 1442 | 1807 | 823 | |||
Women | 2600 | 564 | 972 | 1102 | |||
Heart Failure admissions reductions | 1500 | 1325 | 1766 | ||||
Men | 800 | 90 | 290 | 430 | |||
Women | 700 | 46 | 166 | 523 |
The lower and upper confidence intervals are derived from 5% and 95% centiles of 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Since many input variables are not normally distributed the CI may not be symmetrical. All figures above are per annum. Totals are rounded.