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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Aug 12.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Stat Assoc. 2007 Fall;102(480):1199–1211. doi: 10.1198/016214507000000040

Table 2.

Estimated DFLE based on Sullivan’s method for selected ages of the 1999 U.S. population

Age Estimated
disability
prevalence
Estimated
DFLE
nxmx known
95% CI
nxmx estimated
95% CI
Lower Upper Lower Upper
20 .01 54.47 54.40 54.53 54.37 54.56
25 .00 49.73 49.67 49.79 49.64 49.82
30 .00 44.98 44.91 45.04 44.89 45.07
35 .00 40.25 40.19 40.32 40.16 40.34
40 .01 35.59 35.53 35.66 35.51 35.68
45 .01 31.02 30.96 31.09 30.94 31.10
50 .01 26.58 26.52 26.64 26.50 26.66
55 .02 22.26 22.19 22.32 22.18 22.34
60 .01 18.17 18.11 18.24 18.10 18.25
65 .03 14.31 14.24 14.37 14.24 14.38
70 .05 10.70 10.64 10.77 10.64 10.77
75 .08 7.30 7.24 7.37 7.24 7.37
80 .15 4.05 3.99 4.11 3.99 4.11
85 .20 .77 .75 .78 .74 .79

NOTE: The first column shows the estimated disability prevalence using the sample (weighted) averages from the 1999 National Health Interview Survey and the 1999 National Nursing Home Survey. The definition of disability is based on activities of daily living. The remaining five columns present the point estimates of DFLE and their 95% confidence intervals using Sullivan’s method, without and with accounting for the sampling variability in the estimation of nxmx.