Table 6.
Construction of the base case scenario: RV cases in Saxony (RKI) or in AOK PLUS data set
| Step 1: moving average = adjusted RKI cases per year | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2001–2005 | 2002–2006 | 2003–2007 | |
| 0–1 years | 1,587 | 1,796 | 1,818 |
| 1–2 years | 1,959 | 2,044 | 2,080 |
| 2–3 years | 985 | 1,000 | 1,002 |
| 3–4 years | 548 | 545 | 525 |
| 4–5 years | 335 | 331 | 318 |
| Overall | 5,413 | 5,716 | 5,744 |
| Step 2: % annual increase in RV cases | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–1 years | +0.13 | +0.00 | |
| 1–2 years | +0.04 | +0.01 | |
| 2–3 years | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| 3–4 years | −0.02 | −0.05 | |
| 4–5 years | −0.03 | −0.06 | |
| Average | +0.04 | +0.00 | |
| Step 3: counted-back AOK PLUS cases | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–1 years | 4,688 (in. = 703, out. = 3,985) | 5,281 | 5,625 |
| 1–2 years | 9,139 (in. = 640, out. = 8,500) | 9,392 | 9,941 |
| 2–3 years | 7,313 (in. = 366, out. = 6,947) | 7,554 | 7,557 |
| 3–4 years | 5,756 (in. = 230, out. = 5,525) | 5,690 | 5,443 |
| 4–5 years | 4,299 (in. = 172, out. = 4,127) | 4,142 | 3,707 |
| Overall | 30,474 | 31,995 | 32,274 |
| Step 4: incidence rates | Inpatient | Outpatient | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–1 years | 0.04 | 0.22 | |
| 1–2 years | 0.04 | 0.47 | |
| 2–3 years | 0.02 | 0.39 | |
| 3–4 years | 0.01 | 0.32 | |
| 4–5 years | 0.01 | 0.24 | |
| Average | 0.02 | 0.33 |