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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Mar 1.
Published in final edited form as: Heart. 2014 Dec 4;101(5):369–376. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2014-306342

Table 2.

Observed 15-year absolute risk reductions and numbers needed to treat/harm for aspirin

Total study population Women < 65 years Women ≥ 65 years



ARR
(95% CI)
aNNT or bNNH
(95%CI)
ARR
(95% CI)
aNNT or bNNH
(95%CI)
ARR
(95% CI)
aNNT or bNNH
(95%CI)



Major cardiovascular event 0.27 (0.06 to 0.86) 371 (116 to >1000)a −0.06 (−0.39 to 0.26) >1000b (259b to 382a) 3.11 (1.67 to 5.27) 32 (19 to 60)a
Colorectal cancer 0.14 (0.02 to 0.59) 709 (170 to >1000)a 0.17 (0.04 to 0.55) 581 (181 to >1000)a −0.11 (−1.15 to 0.93) 924b (87b to 107a)
Non-colorectal cancer −0.08 (−0.80 to 0.64) >1000b (124b to 156a) −0.32 (−1.06 to 0.42) 312b (94b to 237a) 2.05 (0.43 to 6.28) 49 (16 to 235)a
Major gastro-intestinal bleeding −0.75 (−0.50 to −1.00) 133 (100 to 198)b −0.64 (−0.40 to −0.87) 157 (114 to 251)b −1.66 (−0.50 to −2.82) 60 (35 to 199)b
Total −0.42 (−1.29 to 0.45) 238b (78b to 223a) −0.85 (−1.72 to 0.03) 118b (58b to >1000a) 3.39 (0.98 to 8.42) 29 (12 to 102)a
Total, adjusted weight of 0.5 for gastro-intestinal bleeding −0.05 (−0.92 to 0.82) >1000b (109b to 121a) −0.53 (−1.40 to 0.34) 189b (71b to 291a) 4.22 (1.59 to 8.90) 24 (11 to 63)a
Total, adjusted weight of 0.25 for gastro-intestinal bleeding 0.14 (0.00 to 7.59) 703 (13 to >1000)a −0.37 (−1.24 to 0.50) 271b (81b to 199a) 4.64 (1.92 to 9.19) 22 (11 to 52)a
Total, adjusted weight of 0.1 for gastro-intestinal bleeding 0.25 (0.00 to 3.43) 393 (29 to >1000)a −0.27 (−1.15 to 0.60) 365b (87b to 167a) 4.89 (2.13 to 9.38) 20 (11 to 47)a

ARR: Absolute risk reduction (in %); CI: Confidence interval;

a

NNT: Number needed to treat;

b

NNH: Number needed to harm.

Risks were estimated based on the cumulative incidence function, accounting for competing risks.