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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Aug 1.
Published in final edited form as: JACC Cardiovasc Imaging. 2015 Jul 15;8(8):900–909. doi: 10.1016/j.jcmg.2015.01.025

Table 2.

Predictors of all-cause mortality in asymptomatic individuals with and without coronary artery calcification.

Model 1 Model 2

Overall (N=9715) CAC=0 (N=4864) CAC>0 (N=4851)

Univariable Multivariable Univariable Multivariable Univariable Multivariable

CAC>0 3.36 (2.89–3.90) 2.67 (2.29–3.11) NA NA NA NA
p<0.001 p<0.001
Age 1.04 (1.04–1.05) 1.04 (1.03–1.05) 1.03 (1.02–1.04) 1.03 (1.02–1.04) 1.05 (1.04–-1.05) 1.05 (1.04–1.05)
p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001
Female 1.05 (0.93–1.20) 0.96 (0.84–1.09) 1.08 (0.83–1.40) 1.01 (0.78–1.32) 1.10 (0.94–1.27) 0.93 (0.80–1.09)
Gender p=0.42 p=0.54 p=0.58 1.02 p=0.92 p=0.23 p=0.37
Hypertension 1.90 (1.67–2.16) 1.61 (1.41–1.84) 1.68 (1.30–2.18) 1.58 (1.21–2.06) 1.66 (1.43–1.94) 1.62 (1.39–1.89)
p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p=0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001
Dyslipidemia 0.81 (0.71–0.92) 0.69 (0.60–0.79) 0.93 (0.72–1.21) 0.83 (0.63–1.08) 0.66 (0.57–0.76) 0.65 (0.56–0.75)
p=0.002 p<0.001 p=0.60 p=0.16 p<0.001 p<0.001
Diabetes 2.98 (2.54–3.49) 2.22 (1.89–2.61) 2.84 (1.97–4.11) 2.53 (1.74–3.69) 2.48 (2.08–2.97) 2.15 (1.79–2.57)
p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001
Family History 0.75 (0.65–0.85) 0.76 (0.67–0.87) 0.93 (0.70–1.23) 0.93 (0.70–1.23) 0.71 (0.61–0.83) 0.71 (0.61–0.83)
p<0.001 p<0.001 p=0.61 p=0.61 p<0.001 p<0.001
Smoking 1.91 (1.68–2.17) 1.79 (1.58–2.04) 1.92 (1.48–2.48) 1.95 (1.50–2.53) 1.64 (1.41–1.90) 1.77 (1.52–2.05)
p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001
Model 3 Model 4

FRS, per 5% 1.21 (1.18–1.24) 1.17 (1.15–1.20) 1.17 (1.11–1.24) 1.18 (1.11–1.24) 1.17 (1.14–1.20) 1.17 (1.14–1.21)
risk increase23 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001
NCEP ATP III 1.29 (1.25–1.34) 1.23 (1.19–1.28) 1.28 (1.19–1.37) 1.28 (1.19–1.37) 1.21 (1.17–1.27) 1.22 (1.17–1.27)
per 5% risk p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001
increase3

Model 1 adjusted for presence of coronary artery calcium, age, gender, and cardiovascular morbidities, including cigarette smoking, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia and family history of premature coronary artery disease. Model 2 adjusted for age, gender, and cardiovascular morbidities, including cigarette smoking, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia and family history of premature coronary artery disease. Model 3 adjusted for presence of coronary artery calcium, and family history of premature coronary artery disease. Model 4 adjusted for family history of premature coronary artery disease.

Abbreviations: CAC, coronary artery calcium; FRS, Framingham Risk Score; NCEP ATP III, National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III.