TABLE 3—

Suicide, Nonsuicide External-Cause, and All Nonsuicide Mortality in Prediction Sample, by Tier of Predicted Suicide Probability: Veterans Health Administration, United States, 2008–2011

		Deaths In Subsequent Mo, No.					All Deaths Observed During Study Period, %					Mortality/100 000 Person-Years of Risk Time					Mortality Risk Concentration Observed During Study Period
Tier of Predicted Suicide Probability, %	Patients, No.	1	3	6	9	12	1	3	6	9	12	1	3	6	9	12	1	3	6	9	12
Suicide mortality
0.01	596	3	5	5	7	7	1.4	0.9	0.5	0.4	0.3	5 927	3 328	1 682	1 570	1 174	142	92	48	45	33
0.10	5 969	9	16	21	27	35	4.3	2.9	2.0	1.7	1.6	1 775	1 063	706	605	586	43	29	20	17	16
1.00	59 696	22	51	94	128	176	10.4	9.4	9.0	8.1	8.2	434	339	316	287	295	10	9.4	9.0	8.1	8.2
5.00	298 493	49	130	262	371	507	23.2	23.9	25.0	23.6	23.7	193	173	176	166	170	4.6	4.8	5.0	4.7	4.7
10.00	596 966	81	208	390	563	760	38.4	38.2	37.1	35.8	35.5	160	138	131	126	127	3.8	3.8	3.7	3.6	3.6
50.00	2 984 831	177	455	856	1 255	1 725	83.9	83.5	81.5	79.9	80.7	70	60	58	56	58	1.7	1.7	1.6	1.6	1.6
100.00	5 969 662	211	545	1 050	1 571	2 138	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	42	36	35	35	36	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.0
Nonsuicide external-cause mortality
0.01	596	0	0	2	5	5	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0	0	673	1 122	839	0	0	5.4	9.0	6.7
0.10	5 969	6	19	36	54	64	0.9	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.9	1 184	1 263	1 210	1 210	1 072	9.4	10	9.7	9.7	8.6
1.00	59 696	37	101	199	278	355	5.8	5.3	5.4	5.0	4.8	730	671	669	623	595	5.8	5.3	5.4	5.0	4.8
5.00	298 493	110	315	583	835	1 096	17.2	16.5	15.8	15.0	14.7	434	419	392	374	367	3.4	3.3	3.2	3.0	2.9
10.00	596 966	178	490	952	1 391	1 855	27.9	25.7	25.7	25.0	24.8	351	326	320	312	311	2.8	2.6	2.6	2.5	2.5
50.00	2 984 831	470	1 357	2 619	3 908	5 203	73.7	71.3	70.8	70.2	69.7	185	180	176	175	174	1.5	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.4
100.00	5 969 662	638	1 904	3 699	5 568	7 470	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	126	127	124	125	125	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.0
All nonsuicide mortality
0.01	5 96	4	9	20	30	39	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	7 902	5 991	6 730	6 730	6 544	2.5	1.8	2.0	2.0	2.0
0.10	5969	45	108	196	268	348	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	8 877	7 178	6 585	6 003	5 830	2.8	2.2	2.0	1.8	1.8
1.00	59 696	459	1 160	2 099	2 934	3 699	2.9	2.4	2.1	2.0	1.9	9 053	7 709	7 052	6 571	6 196	2.9	2.4	2.1	2.0	1.9
5.00	298 493	1 881	5 158	9 902	14 007	17 814	11.9	10.5	9.9	9.6	9.3	7 420	6 856	6 653	6 274	5 968	2.4	2.1	2.0	1.9	1.9
10.00	596 966	3 427	9 700	18 944	26 944	34 389	21.6	19.8	18.9	18.4	18.0	6 759	6 447	6 364	6 035	5 761	2.2	2.0	1.9	1.8	1.8
50.00	2 984 831	10 978	33 195	67 179	97 272	126 298	69.3	67.7	67.1	66.4	66.0	4 330	4 412	4 514	4 357	4 231	1.4	1.4	1.3	1.3	1.3
100.00	5 969 662	15 850	49 017	100 134	146 389	191 257	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	31 26	3 258	3 364	3 279	3 204	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.0