Table 1.
Species | Time/Model | Parameters in model | Training AUC | Test AUC | Mean {sd}b | ETSS | Omission rate | TSS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Malaria | Current | 23 | 0.93 | 0.9 | 0.53 {0.23} | 0.271 | 0.25* | 0.57 |
2050 (Hadley) | 0.49 {0.16} | |||||||
2050 (NASA) | 0.46 {0.18} | |||||||
2070 (Hadley) | 0.46 {0.17} | |||||||
2070 (NASA) | 0.45 {0.19} | |||||||
An. darlingi a | Current | 13 | 0.77 | 0.75 | 0.51 {0.12} | 0.463 | 0.34* | 0.58 |
2050 (Hadley) | 0.51 {0.14} | |||||||
2050 (NASA) | 0.50 {0.13} | |||||||
2070 (Hadley) | 0.51 {0.13} | |||||||
2070 (NASA) | 0.51 {0.13} | |||||||
An. nuneztovari s.l. a | Current | 0.8 | 0.79 | 0.53 {0.14} | 0.492 | 0.3* | 0.68 | |
2050 (Hadley) | 0.53 {0.12} | |||||||
2050 (NASA) | 0.55 {0.10} | |||||||
2070 (Hadley) | 0.54 {0.11} | |||||||
2070 (NASA) | 0.53 {0.13} |
*Significant at p < 0.001
aExcluded parameters with high correlation to avoid over-fitting
bEstimated using 12, 65 and 44 test and background points each for Malaria, An. darlingi and An. nuneztovari respectively