Table 2. Benefits of screening.
Scenario | Lung cancers detected at an early stage (stage I-II) % | Lung cancer mortality reduction % | Absolute number of lung cancer deaths averted per 100,000 | Life-years gained per 100,000 | Life-years gained per lung cancer death averted | Screens per life-year gained | Screens per lung cancer death averted |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USPSTF (ever eligible only) | 59.4% | 32.7% | 4,305 | 51,035 | 11.9 | 30 | 353 |
Never-smokers at average risk | 65.8% | 37.1% | 354 | 3,669 | 10.4 | 594 | 6,162 |
Never-smokers at 2 times average risk | 65.9% | 37.0% | 706 | 7,332 | 10.4 | 296 | 3,075 |
Never-smokers at 5 times average risk | 65.8% | 37.0% | 1,764 | 18,359 | 10.4 | 117 | 1,216 |
Never-smokers at 10 times average risk | 65.8% | 37.1% | 3,541 | 36,809 | 10.4 | 57 | 593 |
Never-smokers at 15 times average risk | 65.8% | 37.1% | 5,322 | 55,247 | 10.4 | 37 | 387 |
Never-smokers at 20 times average risk | 65.8% | 37.1% | 7,118 | 73,892 | 10.4 | 27 | 283 |
Never-smokers at 35 times average risk | 65.9% | 37.3% | 12,509 | 129,786 | 10.4 | 15 | 151 |
Table notes: Abbreviations: United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF)