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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Thorac Oncol. 2015 Sep;10(9):1285–1291. doi: 10.1097/JTO.0000000000000593

Table 3. Harms of screening.

Scenario Screens per 100,000 CT examinations per 100,000 (includes screenings) Average screening examinations per person screened % of cases overdiagnosed % of screened cases overdiagnosed
USPSTF (ever eligible only) 1,520,632 1,776,046 16.2 4.6% 8.4%
Never-smokers at average risk 2,179,173 2,544,605 22.5 5.2% 9.5%
Never-smokers at 2 times average risk 2,170,544 2,534,532 22.5 5.2% 9.6%
Never-smokers at 5 times average risk 2,144,601 2,504,249 22.2 5.3% 9.6%
Never-smokers at 10 times average risk 2,101,248 2,453,645 21.9 5.3% 9.6%
Never-smokers at 15 times average risk 2,057,745 2,402,865 21.5 5.3% 9.6%
Never-smokers at 20 times average risk 2,014,118 2,351,940 21.1 5.3% 9.6%
Never-smokers at 35 times average risk 1,882,721 2,198,562 19.9 5.3% 9.6%

Table notes: Abbreviations: United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF)