Table 3.
Estimated Probability of Out-of-Home Placement (Conditional on Substantiation)
| M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B | SE | B | SE | B | SE | B | SE | |
| Time Constraints | ||||||||
| Allows more than 30 days to complete investigation | .020 | .041 | .009 | .043 | .006 | .041 | .009 | .042 |
| Allows 3+ between removal and initial hearing | .127*** | .033 | .108*** | .032 | .110*** | .033 | .119*** | .032 |
| Increase in agency workload in past year | −.018 | .033 | −.002 | .040 | −.019 | .040 | −.031 | .041 |
| Service Accessibility Constraints | ||||||||
| Collaboration with other social institutions | .025 | .031 | .017 | .030 | .014 | .031 | .022 | .031 |
| Can provide services for unsubstantiated cases | .081* | .040 | .068+ | .035 | .058 | .037 | .072* | .037 |
| Service availability | −.036 | .042 | −.079* | .034 | −.074* | .037 | −.058 | .038 |
| Community has system of care | .001 | .043 | −.028 | .041 | −.029 | .040 | −.054 | .042 |
| Agency lost 25% or more of funding in last 12 months | .152 | .107 | .160 | .109 | .153 | .107 | .133 | .117 |
| Decision-Making Constraints | ||||||||
| Consent decree | .025 | .044 | .004 | .039 | .009 | .039 | −.004 | .041 |
| Structural decision making model | .118** | .041 | .092* | .042 | .091* | .041 | .092* | .042 |
| Number standardized assessments used | .006 | .007 | .011+ | .007 | .013+ | .007 | .012+ | .008 |
| County Characteristics | ||||||||
| % of county black 2008 | −.001 | .001 | −.001 | .001 | −.002 | .002 | ||
| % of county Hispanic 2008 | −.001 | .002 | −.001 | .002 | −.001 | .002 | ||
| County population 2008 | .030 | .019 | .034+ | .020 | .025 | .020 | ||
| High arrest rate | .106* | .048 | .097+ | .050 | .094+ | .049 | ||
| High poverty rate | .062 | .040 | .057 | .041 | .051 | .042 | ||
| Caseworker Characteristics | ||||||||
| Social Work degree | −.043 | .032 | −.041 | .031 | ||||
| Advanced degree | −.054 | .035 | −.051 | .032 | ||||
| Years of experience | −.001 | .003 | −.001 | .003 | ||||
| Average number of new investigations - Past 3M | .000 | .002 | .000 | .002 | ||||
| Family Risk Factors | ||||||||
| CPS history | .081* | .040 | ||||||
| Caregiver mental health/substance abuse problems | .141*** | .036 | ||||||
| Domestic violence | .000 | .044 | ||||||
| Poor parenting skills | .019 | .049 | ||||||
| Economic hardship | .056 | .078 | ||||||
| Child safety/Child has special needs | .009 | .032 | ||||||
| Child Demographics | ||||||||
| Black | .060 | .048 | ||||||
| Hispanic | −.038 | .048 | ||||||
| Other race | −.093* | .043 | ||||||
| Age | −.004+ | .003 | ||||||
Notes: Models estimated using multi-level sampling weights. Cases=3,635.
+
p<.1
*
p<.05
**
p<.01
***
p<.001