Table 4. Model 2 (with minimum temperature) regression parameters.
Models were adjusted for previous weeks’ influenza activity.
| Meteorological Smooth Terms EDF (p-value)* | Adj. | % Dev. | Pred. Corr. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Min. Temp | Precipitation | Solar Radiation | R2 | Explained | Coeff. ǂ | |
| Berlin | 1.6 (0.006) | 1 (0.01) | 0.71 | 75.3 | 0.87 | |
| Ljubljana | 1.95 (<0.001) | 1.7 (0.008) | 2 (<0.001) | 0.30 | 61.8 | 0.10 |
| Castile & León | 1.84 (<0.001) | 1.87 (0.007) | 1.61 (<0.001) | 0.56 | 72.0 | 0.84 |
| North | 1 (<0.001) | 1.94 (<0.001) | 0.58 | 74.5 | 0.55 | |
| Haifa | 1.91 (0.003) | 3.91 (<0.001) | 2.98 (0.1) | 0.54 | 65.8 | 0.02 |
| Center | 1 (<0.001) | 1 (<0.001) | 0.70 | 82.7 | 0.90 | |
| Tel Aviv | 1.75 (<0.001) | 0.66 | 74.4 | 0.80 | ||
| Jerusalem | 2.82 (0.2) | 3.92 (0.007) | 1 (<0.001) | 0.72 | 85.4 | 0.90 |
| South | 1.55 (<0.001) | 2.32 (0.01) | 0.71 | 72.4 | 0.89 | |
* EDF is the effective degree of freedom for the estimated smooth terms. Meteorological parameter units: °C for minimum temperature, mm/day for precipitation, W/m2 for solar radiation.
ǂ Correlation coefficient between the estimated influenza-associated ILI or ARI with the observed during 2010/2011 season.