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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Gastroenterology. 2015 Apr 24;149(3):567–576.e3. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2015.04.013

Table 4.

Progression Rates to HGD or Cancer from Time of Intervention^

Progressors / Non-progressors*
Follow-up Ablation %# Surveillance %#
Yr 1 1 /32 3.0 16 / 92 14.8
Yr 2 0 / 26 0 11 / 68 13.9
Yr 3 0 / 21 0 2 / 56 3.4
Yr 4 0 / 15 0 4 / 46 8.0
Yr 5 0 / 9 0 0 / 45 0
*

= progressors within the yr / nonprogressors with at least that yr of follow-up

#

= progressors/ (nonprogressors with at least yr follow-up and progressors within that yr)

^

Overall progression during follow-up period was 1 IMC (2.2%) in RFA group vs. 29 HGD, 5 IMC, and 2 submucosal EAC (28.8%) in surveillance group (P <0.001). Median time from initial intervention to progression to HGD or cancer was 7.5 months in RFA and 12.5 months (IQR: 7.4, 24.2) in surveillance. Progression to HGD or cancer when stratified by center as follows: University of Pennsylvania 1/5 RFA and 19/53 surveillance, Columbia 0/10 RFA and 4/37 surveillance, Mayo Clinic 0/30 RFA and 13/35 surveillance.