Table 2.
Sequential Analysis of Hypothesized Escape-Driven Coercive Process in Routines: I
| Sequential analysis of steps in coercive sequence using Cycles logic | Statistics | Hypothesized escape-driven
routines |
Aggregate results | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F2A | F3A | F4B | F5A | F5B | F7B | F8A | F9A | F9B | |||
| 2-Steps: Given PTR, conditional probability of CPR within a cycle | JNTF | 322 | 84 | 33 | 64 | 235 | 170 | 17 | 230 | 201 | 1318 |
| CONP | .64 | .80 | .33 | .45 | .77 | .78 | .29 | .43 | .78 | .60 | |
| ADJR | 5.43 | 1.92 | 7.10 | 5.60 | 10.91 | 3.60 | 4.97 | 8.90 | 2.63 | 35.4 | |
| PVALUE | <.001 | <.06 | <.001 | <.001 | <.001 | <.01 | <.001 | <.001 | <.01 | < .001 | |
|
| |||||||||||
| 3-Steps: Given PTR followed by CPR in a cycle, conditional probability of PW in the next cycle. | JNTF | 135 | 49 | 21 | 58 | 167 | 109 | 10 | 123 | 111 | 847 |
| CONP | .42 | .58 | .84 | .92 | .72 | .65 | .63 | .54 | .56 | .62 | |
| ADJR | −4.52 | 4.56 | .69: | −1.75 | −3.69 | −.24 | −1.97: | .90 | .84 | −10.58 | |
| PVALUE | <.001− | <.001+ | .49+ | .08− | <.001− | .81− | .05− | .37+ | .40+ | < .001− | |
|
| |||||||||||
| 4-Steps: Given PTR followed by CPR in the first cycle, conditional probability of PW followed by CAB in the next cycle. | JNTF | 22 | 20 | 8 | 35 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 30 | 23 | 169 |
| CONP | .07 | .24 | .32 | .56 | .07 | .07 | .19 | .11 | .12 | .12 | |
| ADJR | −5.87 | −2.21 | −2.08: | −3.55 | −10.98 | −4.42 | −4.53: | −2.79 | −2.2 | −21.43 | |
| PVALUE | <.001− | <.05− | <.05− | <.001− | <.001− | <.001− | <.001− | <.01− | <.05− | < .001− | |
Note. PTR = Parent Trigger (Demand); CPR = Child Problem Response; PW = Parent Withdraws Demand; CAB = Child Acceptable/Appropriate Behavior. JNTF = Observed Joint/Lagged Frequencies; CONP = Conditional Probability; ADJR = Adjusted Residual; PVALUE = Probability Value. F2A = Family 2 snack routine; F3A = Family 3 homework routine; F4B = Family 4 structured play routine; F5A = Family 5 dinner routine; F5B = Family 5 table games routine; F7B = Family 7 dinner routine; F8A = Family 8 lunch routine; F9A = Family 9 structured play routine; F9B = Family 9 reading routine. : = Adjusted residuals approximate conditions of normal distribution.