Table 3.

Sequential Analysis of Hypothesized Escape-Driven Coercive Process in Routines: II

Sequential analysis of steps in coercive sequence using Cycles logic	Statistics	Hypothesized escape-driven routines									Aggregate results
		F2A	F3A	F4B	F5A	F5B	F7B	F8A	F9A	F9B
2-Steps: Given PTR, conditional probability of CPR within a cycle	JNTF	322	74	33	64	235	170	17	230	201	1318
	CONP	.64	.70	.33	.45	.77	.78	.29	.43	.78	.60
	ADJR	5.43	14.25	7.10	5.60	10.91	3.60	4.97	8.90	2.63	35.4
	PVALUE	<.001	<.001	<.001	<.001	<.001	<.01	<.001	<.001	<.01	< .001
3-Steps: Given PTR followed by CPR in a cycle, conditional probability of PR in the next cycle.	JNTF	195	22	10	20	88	95	9	166	154	797
	CONP	.61	.37	.40	.32	.38	.57	.56	.73	.77	.60
	ADJR	2.17	2.89	−0.05	2.59	2.50	.27	1.56	2.70	3.22	11.88
	PVALUE	.03+	<.01	.96−	.001+	.01+	.79+	.12+	< .01	.001+	< .001
4-Steps: Given PTR followed by CPR in the first cycle, conditional probability of PR followed by CAR in the next cycle.	JNTF	33	4	5	5	12	26	2	77	56	231
	CONP	.10	.05	.20	.08	.05	.14	.13	.34	.28	.17
	ADJR	−3.39	2.53	.06	1.89	1.23	−1.2	.51:	.26	.95	2.53
	PVALUE	<.001−	.01+	.95+	.06+	.22+	.23−	.61+	.78+	.34+	< .01

Note. PTR = Parent Trigger (Demand); CPR = Child Problem Response; PR = Parent Reduces Demand; CAR = Child Appropriate/acceptable Behavior or Reduce Problem Behavior. JNTF = Observed Joint/Lagged Frequencies; CONP = Conditional Probability; ADJR = Adjusted Residual; PVALUE = Probability Value. : Adjusted Residuals approximate conditions of normal distribution