Table 15:
Results of the Budget Impact Analysis
| Input | In-Home PTC | Sources |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Annual number of decedents in Ontario | 87,000 | HQO ICES cohort (43) |
| 2. Probability of being identified with a palliative prognosis | 0.65 | HQO ICES cohort (43) |
| 3. Decedents identified with palliative prognosis | 56,550 | Line 1* Line 2 |
| 4. Estimated decedents already received in-home PTC | 11,736 | Expert opiniona |
| 5. Annual number of decedents that may benefit from PTC | 44,814 | |
| 6. Per-patient cost of providing PTC | $1,700–$2,400 | Estimates |
| 7. Per-patient expected cost-saving (relative to usual care) | $2,200–$4,424 | Modelled projections |
| 8. Total cost of providing in-home PTC (million) | $76.18–$107.55 | Line 5* Line 6 |
| 9. Expected total cost-saving (million) | $191.40–$384.89 | Line 1* Line 7 |
Abbreviations: HQO, Health Quality Ontario; ICES, Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences; PTC, palliative team care.
a
Personal communication, clinical experts, March 28, 2014.