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. 2015 Sep 1;3(1):21. doi: 10.1186/s40462-015-0048-3

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© McEvoy et al. 2015

Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

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Fig. 4 — Partial dependence plots for three important variables for predicting initiation of an exploratory phase. a Partial dependence on daily maximum temperature. b Partial dependence on minimum daily atmospheric pressure. c Partial dependence on total weekly rainfall at a bird’s location. Partial dependence is the dependence of the probability of change on one predictor variable after averaging out the effects of the other predictor variables in the model. The Y-axis is half the logit-probability of an individual transitioning to a phase of exploratory behaviour (see Cutler et al. [64] for detailed explanation)