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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Mar 10.
Published in final edited form as: AIDS. 2014 Sep 10:10.1097/QAD.0000000000000460. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000000460

Table 2.

Key input parameters to computer simulation

Parameter description Point estimate Range Source
PrEP characteristics

Relative risk reduction on sexual transmission of HIV associated with PrEP use 44% 25–75% [13]
Relative risk reduction on parenteral transmission of HIV associated with PrEP use 49% 25–75% [5]
Uptake of PrEP in prioritized population 50% 10–90% [22, 24, 26, 3941]
Cost of PrEP per person per year $9,672 $4,836–19,345 [11, 14, 16]

Population characteristics

Proportion of population who are abstinent 21% 15–25% [42]
Proportion of men who are MSM (exclusively or non-exclusively) 6% 4–10% [28]
Probability of monogamous relationship (if sexually active)
Men who have sex with men (MSM) 56% 44%–75% [28]
Men who have sex with women (MSW) 78% 76%–84% [28]
Probability of multiple partnerships (if sexually active)
MSM 44% 25%–64% [28]
MSW 22% 16%–24% [28]
WSM 9% 7–10% [28]
Proportion of population that are injection drug users (IDU) 1.4% 1.0–1.9% [43]
Proportion of IDU that have unsafe injection practices 32% 23%–50% [44]
Shared injections per year (if unsafe IDU) 70 25–100 Expert opinion
Sex acts (per partnership) per year 89 50–100 [45]

HIV related characteristics

Probability of annual HIV test 31% 10%–50% [28]
Probability of adherence to ART 63% 50–75% [46]