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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Sep 7.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet. 2015 Jun 7;386(9995):743–800. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60692-4

Table 3. Global incidence of acute sequelae (for less than 3 months) by cause for incidence greater than 1 million cases per year.

Cases in 1990 (× 1000) Cases in 2013 (× 1000) Percentage change Age-standardised rate in 1990 (per 100 000) Age-standardised rate in 2013 (per 100 000) Percentage change
Upper respiratory infections 13 557 038 (13 317 034 to 13 806 346) 18 770 589 (18 479 508 to 19 048 703) 38·26* (35·33 to 41·60) 243 621·2 (239 383·6 to 248 019·3) 259 491·0 (255 547·1 to 263 318·4) 6·48*(4·20 to 8·95)
Diarrhoeal disease episodes 2 920 208 (2 866 614 to 2 968 429) 2 711 253 (2 666 452 to 2 761 161) −7·29* (−9·55 to −4·91) 46 265·7 (45 440·7 to 47 003·5) 37 467·6 (36 858·2 to 38 151·9) −19·07* (−20·98 to −17·09)
Other exposure to mechanical forces 349 533 (334 775 to 367 702) 381 968 (364 953 to 401 105) 9·28* (6·86 to 11·52) 6049·4 (5797·0 to 6369·6) 5092·8 (4866·9 to 5355·1) −15·81* (−17·57 to −14·16)
Acute otitis media 339 485 (332 992 to 345 806) 324 720 (318 445 to 330 958) −4·44* (−7·03 to −1·88) 5292·2 (5194·9 to 5384·2) 4480·9 (4394·0 to 4566·7) −15·34* (−17·58 to −13·09)
Tooth pain due to permanent caries 164 255 (144 960 to 184 155) 222 966 (194 054 to 252 697) 35·63* (32·63 to 38·69) 3028·4 (2676·9 to 3391·5) 3070·6 (2672·3 to 3479·0) 1·41 (−0·94 to 3·58)
Bacterial skin diseases 148 035 (123 990 to 172 137) 154 851 (132 130 to 180 387) 4·81 (−4·86 to 14·19) 2655·7 (2244·7 to 3075·9) 2194·3 (1870·5 to 2572·9) −17·21* (−22·61 to −11·95)
Falls 107 951 (106 004 to 109 801) 154 533 (151 535 to 157 392) 43·16* (39·53 to 46·97) 2030·3 (1993·1 to 2063·9) 2017·5 (1988·0 to 2048·0) −0·62 (−2·90 to 1·69)
Lower respiratory infections 164 622 (162 190 to 167 306) 150 087 (146 724 to 152 859) −8·85* (−12·07 to −6·67) 2891·4 (2849·7 to 2940·9) 2206·9 (2156·5 to 2246·2) −23·58* (−26·17 to −21·86)
Clinical episodes of malaria 172 741 (107 735 to 279 197) 146 761 (85 673 to 249 239) −16·56 (−34·66 to 12·48) 2853·7 (1741·1 to 4755·7) 2036·0 (1184·4 to 3465·6) −29·81* (−44·89 to −5·93)
Chlamydia infection 111 204 (108 362 to 114 280) 141 437 (137 606 to 144 793) 27·25* (22·27 to 31·31) 2001·8 (1952·0 to 2055·9) 1885·4 (1834·3 to 1929·7) −5·69* (−9·36 to −2·73)
Chickenpox and herpes zoster 128 020 (126 377 to 129 582) 139 665 (138 706 to 140 700) 8·84* (7·73 to 10·73) 1992·7 (1970·9 to 2015·0) 1935·4 (1920·8 to 1950·4) −2·99* (−4·00 to −1·54)
Hepatitis B 137 639 (133 533 to 143 049) 129 191 (124 907 to 132 890) −6·22* (−9·67 to −2·53) 2644·5 (2562·1 to 2753·9) 1779·2 (1721·7 to 1830·2) −32·74* (−35·29 to −29·95)
Gallbladder and biliary diseases 78 635 (77 174 to 80 289) 104 111 (101 889 to 106 283) 32·23* (28·62 to 36·23) 2005·6 (1971·1 to 2049·5) 1594·2 (1560·6 to 1627·8) −20·56* (−22·64 to −18·22)
Hepatitis A 90 801 (86 969 to 94 635) 101 711 (97 926 to 105 499) 11·87* (11·35 to 12·46) 1481·7 (1432·5 to 1529·6) 1396·9 (1345·4 to 1448·4) −5·76* (−6·10 to −5·33)
Other unintentional injuries 70 771 (69 804 to 71 730) 94 747 (93 084 to 96 457) 33·88* (31·03 to 36·83) 1352·1 (1334·1 to 1370·2) 1312·8 (1292·3 to 1334·1) −2·90* (−4·93 to −0·83)
Interstitial nephritis and urinary tract infections 55 473 (54 702 to 56 225) 92 847 (91 652 to 93 940) 67·10* (64·28 to 70·38) 1156·8 (1142·6 to 1170·9) 1344·3 (1327·0 to 1360·3) 16·14* (14·25 to 18·31)
Gastritis and duodenitis 76 611 (75 707 to 77 550) 90 638 (89 750 to 91 660) 18·15* (16·30 to 19·94) 1809·1 (1789·7 to 1831·4) 1393·6 (1380·1 to 1 409·5) −23·00* (−24·12 to −21·88)
Gonococcal infection 56 316 (53 588 to 59 210) 78 197 (74 585 to 81 629) 39·04* (28·92 to 48·08) 977·0 (931·8 to 1024·5) 1038·5 (990·4 to 1084·2) 6·53 (−0·93 to 13·10)
Dengue 8220 (3294 to 17 234) 58 435 (23 615 to 121 951) 610·87* (606·25 to 615·50) 148·3 (59·4 to 311·0) 810·9 (327·7 to 1692·3) 447·31* (443·59 to 450·91)
Non-venomous animal contact 65 300 (63 282 to 67 643) 57 822 (55 870 to 59 726) −11·43* (−15·55 to −7·21) 1190·1 (1155·7 to 1228·5) 808·4 (782·9 to 833·1) −32·06* (−34·84 to −29·13)
Trichomonas infection 40 045 (37 105 to 43 115) 57 794 (53 923 to 63 336) 43·45* (31·00 to 61·93) 737·0 (685·1 to 789·3) 771·6 (720·2 to 845·3) 4·31 (−4·66 to 17·24)
Motor vehicle road injuries 40 958 (39 248 to 42 998) 54 201 (51 723 to 57 134) 32·35* (28·52 to 37·35) 782·6 (752·1 to 821·3) 763·3 (729·3 to 802·9) −2·46 (−5·11 to 0·90)
Tooth pain due to deciduous caries 50 436 (43 544 to 57 157) 53 082 (45 756 to 60 269) 5·07* (3·77 to 6.37) 748·9 (646·6 to 848·4) 738·4 (636·5 to 838·4) −1·47* (−2·66 to −0·25)
Peptic ulcer disease 52 264 (51 134 to 53 504) 50 399 (48 835 to 52 173) −3·81 (−7·37 to 0.75) 1457·0 (1424·5 to 1491·1) 810·7 (786·1 to 838·9) −44·43* (−46·54 to −41·86)
Urolithiasis 33 330 (30 306 to 36 585) 48 615 (43 576 to 54 046) 45·55* (42.24 to 49·34) 744·9 (679·4 to 820·5) 690·9 (620·4 to 767·8) −7·34* (−9·29 to −5·16)
Genital herpes 37 033 (35 871 to 38 277) 46 840 (45 386 to 48 578) 26·27* (22·76 to 30·12) 633·9 (614·0 to 655·5) 622·6 (603·4 to 645·4) −1·85 (−4·55 to 1·08)
Cellulitis 31 740 (28 667 to 34 738) 37 449 (33 421 to 41 180) 17·85* (13·20 to 22·04) 674·3 (607·1 to 739·9) 547·5 (488·2 to 604·0) −18·80* (−21·35 to −16·80)
Fire, heat, and hot substances 36 843 (35 438 to 38 193) 33 433 (31 570 to 35 304) −9·24* (−14·28 to −3·71) 653·9 (631·3 to 677·0) 450·6 (426·5 to 474·6) −31·08* (−34·68 to −27·22)
Foreign body elsewhere in body 21 835 (21 544 to 22 091) 31 155 (30 749 to 31 549) 42·69* (40·10 to 45·46) 455·4 (450·0 to 460·8) 461·0 (455·3 to 466·7) 1·23 (−0·57 to 3·05)
Hepatitis E 23 967 (22 840 to 24 969) 28 446 (27 083 to 30 055) 18·38* (11·33 to 26·86) 433·2 (414·4 to 451·1) 386·8 (368·4 to 408·5) −10·88* (−16·18 to −4·62)
Collective violence and legal intervention 60 427 (40 630 to 98 088) 21 567 (11 959 to 48 571) −64·08* (−75·95 to −17·39) 1628·5 (1056·4 to 2651·6) 390·4 (229·3 to 842·7) −75·48* (−83·87 to −42·03)
Adverse effects of medical treatment 13 489 (13 334 to 13 646) 19 946 (19 714 to 20 176) 47·88* (45·68 to 50·11) 273·3 (270·2 to 276·4) 269·1 (266·3 to 271·9) −1·52* (−2·93 to −0·16)
Assault by other means 16 174 (15 804 to 16 557) 18 133 (17 708 to 18 553) 12·12* (9·14 to 15·10) 299·4 (292·7 to 306·3) 249·2 (243·6 to 254·9) −16·76* (−18·83 to −14·50)
Other transport injuries 16 956 (16 240 to 18 001) 18 083 (17 246 to 19 205) 6·70* (0·04 to 13·62) 315·7 (302·8 to 332·9) 244·5 (233·3 to 259·8) −22·50* (−27·11 to −17·66)
Pancreatitis 10 057 (9954 to 10 157) 17 163 (16 976 to 17 376) 70·45* (68·14 to 72·80) 234·8 (232·6 to 237·1) 251·0 (248·3 to 253·9) 6·84* (5·45 to 8·28)
Motorcyclist road injuries 14 619 (12 221 to 16 302) 16 692 (13 485 to 18 844) 14·15* (7·74 to 21·46) 273·5 (227·9 to 305·0) 226·9 (184·0 to 256·2) −17·08* (−21·40 to −11·90)
Appendicitis 14 105 (12 914 to 15 603) 16 423 (14 441 to 18 501) 16·60* (0·89 to 36·82) 263·6 (241·9 to 290·9) 225·2 (198·5 to 253·1) −14·58 (−25·48 to 0·15)
Pedestrian road injuries by road vehicle 10 450 (9702 to 11 340) 14 353 (13 302 to 15 545) 37·38* (32·69 to 43·65) 209·8 (194·3 to 228·1) 210·5 (194·8 to 227·5) 0·35 (−3·12 to 4·53)
Meningitis cases due to other causes 14 177 (13 756 to 14 595) 12 819 (12 410 to 13 260) −9·58* (−13·65 to −5·73) 224·6 (217·9 to 231·5) 175·3 (169·7 to 181·2) −21·89* (−25·39 to −18·63)
Typhoid fever 13 685 (11 708 to 17 982) 10 955 (9641 to 14 354) −19·93* (−30·68 to −6·53) 227·3 (195·5 to 297·7) 151·5 (133·6 to 198·5) −33·30* (−41·90 to −22·36)
Hepatitis C 9367 (9188 to 9539) 10 840 (10 650 to 11 014) 15·54* (12·57 to 19·02) 201·0 (196·3 to 205·6) 157·7 (154·7 to 160·5) −21·59* (−23·94 to −18·90)
Cyclist road injuries 9713 (8578 to 10 973) 10 711 (9478 to 12 157) 10·30* (5·21 to 15·85) 183·8 (164·6 to 205·9) 152·9 (135·9 to 173·6) −16·84* (−20·05 to −13·23)
Acute myocardial infarction 4862 (4640 to 5074) 8557 (8199 to 8919) 75·77* (74·24 to 77·72) 141·1 (134·6 to 147·6) 139·3 (133·2 to 145·4) −1·29* (−2·09 to −0·34)
Assault by sharp object 6021 (5779 to 6234) 7983 (7641 to 8284) 32·62* (26·92 to 38·28) 111·8 (107·2 to 115·6) 107·6 (103·1 to 111·5) −3·75 (−7·87 to 0·21)
Acute ischaemic stroke 4309 (4118 to 4532) 6893 (6550 to 7352) 59·61* (48·61 to 72·86) 128·4 (122·7 to 135·0) 114·3 (108·5 to 122·3) −11·13* (−17·29 to −3·14)
Paratyphoid fever 8846 (7761 to 10 194) 6378 (5550 to 7253) −27·88* (−41·81 to −12·83) 144·5 (127·5 to 166·1) 88·0 (76·5 to 100·0) −39·09* (−50·86 to −26·48)
Maternal hypertensive disorders 5582 (3681 to 7427) 5707 (3792 to 7519) 2·08 (−1·25 to 7·48) 96·7 (63·9 to 127·8) 75·2 (50·1 to 98·9) −22·26* (−24·37 to −18·54)
Exposure to forces of nature 7326 (4728 to 13 492) 5658 (3694 to 11 899) −21·55 (−45·57 to 31·37) 195·7 (114·9 to 333·1) 97·3 (55·2 to 187·5) −50·75* (−71·91 to −9·97)
Venomous animal contact 5702 (5390 to 6040) 5548 (5278 to 5843) −2·68 (−6·78 to 1·46) 106·0 (101·0 to 111·4) 77·1 (73·7 to 80·8) −27·28* (−29·90 to −24·43)
Foreign body in eyes 3959 (3692 to 4201) 5298 (4955 to 5607) 33·81* (30·26 to 37·76) 74·6 (69·6 to 79·1) 73·5 (68·6 to 77·7) −1·39 (−3·97 to 1·45)
Obstructed labour 5362 (4833 to 5947) 5122 (4491 to 5610) −4·23 (−19·90 to 10·21) 93·7 (84·8 to 103·6) 67·2 (59·0 to 73·6) −27·99* (−39·42 to −17·41)
Maternal haemorrhage 4429 (3994 to 5014) 4649 (4331 to 5015) 4·72 (−7·62 to 17·74) 77·6 (70·3 to 87·3) 61·1 (57·0 to 65·9) −21·40* (−30·27 to −11·77)
Assault by firearm 2487 (2266 to 2671) 3609 (3313 to 3881) 45·16* (39·56 to 51·09) 48·2 (44·0 to 51·7) 50·0 (46·0 to 53·8) 3·77 (−0·17 to 7·93)
Pulmonary aspiration and foreign body in airway 2777 (2639 to 2986) 3568 (3396 to 3832) 28·50* (25·60 to 31·45) 52·5 (49·9 to 56·3) 49·7 (47·4 to 53·4) −5·28* (−7·23 to −3·18)
Acute haemorrhagic stroke 1886 (1817 to 1977) 3366 (3200 to 3543) 78·50* (65·50 to 89·81) 53·4 (51·5 to 55·9) 54·3 (51·4 to 57·3) 1·61 (−5·68 to 8·55)
Poisonings 3409 (3347 to 3477) 3282 (3208 to 3352) −3·70* (−6·17 to −1·39) 61·4 (60·3 to 62·5) 44·6 (43·6 to 45·5) −27·43* (−29·23 to −25·83)
Self-harm 3222 (3187 to 3257) 3270 (3240 to 3302) 1·51* (0·20 to 2·79) 61·2 (60·6 to 61·8) 43·8 (43·3 to 44·2) −28·48* (−29·34 to −27·61)
Unintentional firearm injuries 2749 (2556 to 2925) 3126 (2902 to 3344) 13·71* (10·07 to 17·66) 49·4 (46·0 to 52·5) 42·7 (39·7 to 45·6) −13·66* (−16·30 to −10·85)
Complications of abortion 2366 (2235 to 2525) 2642 (2510 to 2784) 11·54* (1·79 to 20·91) 41·9 (39·6 to 44·6) 34·9 (33·1 to 36·7) −16·87* (−24·01 to −10·06)
Paralytic ileus and intestinal obstruction 1501 (1481 to 1517) 2530 (2487 to 2572) 68·38* (64·90 to 71·76) 38·1 (37·5 to 38·5) 39·6 (38·9 to 40·3) 4·04* (1·81 to 6·20)
Other sexually transmitted diseases 1884 (1771 to 2008) 2393 (2259 to 2540) 27·09* (17·35 to 36·22) 36·1 (34·0 to 38·3) 32·3 (30·6 to 34·3) −10·14* (−16·70 to −3·89)
Drowning 1803 (1708 to 1921) 1664 (1571 to 1782) −7·70* (−11·01 to −4·22) 32·5 (30·8 to 34·7) 23·6 (22·3 to 25·3) −27·33* (−30·05 to −24·60)
Unintentional suffocation 1102 (1003 to 1205) 1593 (1443 to 1741) 44·53* (40·31 to 48·18) 19·4 (17·7 to 21·2) 21·8 (19·7 to 23·8) 12·17* (9·16 to 14·93)
Acute myocarditis 961 (909 to 1031) 1481 (1377 to 1592) 53·54* (41·58 to 69·41) 22·8 (21·5 to 24·5) 22·0 (20·5 to 23·6) −3·56 (−11·38 to 5·97)
Maternal sepsis and other maternal infections 1881 (1684 to 2088) 1389 (1227 to 1522) −26·48* (−36·40 to −15·31) 32·2 (28·9 to 35·6) 18·3 (16·2 to 20·0) −43·42* (−50·97 to −34·94)

Causes are ordered by overall incidence. All data are shown with 95% uncertainty intervals.

*

Significant percentage change.