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. 2015 Sep 9;10(9):e0136147. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0136147

Table 1. Reconstructions of fire rotation (FR) for high-severity fire in historical dry forests of the western USA, with corroborating evidence from sedimentary charcoal studies.

Author(s) Location Method 1 High-severity FR (years) and severe fire-episode intervals2
DRY PINE FORESTS
Baker [29] E. Cascades, E Oregon GLO tree data 705
DRY MIXED-CONIFER FORESTS
Baker [30] W. Sierra Nevada Mts., W California GLO tree data and line data 281–354
Long et al. [31] E. Cascades, E Oregon Charcoal in sediment deposits 333 2 , 3
Odion et al. [27] N. Sierra Nevada Mts., W California Early historical 488
Baker [29] E. Cascades, E Oregon GLO tree data 496
Fitch [32] Jemez Mts., N New Mexico Charcoal in sediment deposits 500? (400–667) 2 , 4
COMBINED DRY PINE AND MIXED-CONIFER FORESTS
Pierce and Meyer, [33] and Pierce et al., [34] Central Idaho Charcoal in sediment deposits (154–286) 2 , 5
Williams and Baker, [28] Black Mesa, N Arizona GLO tree data 217
Jenkins et al., [35] Mogollon Plateau, N Arizona Charcoal in sediment deposits 250 (200–400) 2
Williams and Baker, [28] Front Range, E Colorado GLO tree data 271
Odion et al., [27] E Cascades, E Washington Aerial photos 379–505
Baker, [29] E Cascades, E Oregon GLO tree data 435
Bigio, [36] San Juan Mts., SW Colorado Charcoal in sediment deposits > 471 (> 667) 2 , 6
Colombaroli and Gavin, [37] Siskiyou Mts, SW Oregon Charcoal in sediment deposits 500 (142) 2
Frechette and Meyer, [38] Sacramento Mts., SE New Mexico Charcoal in sediment deposits 500 (667) 2 , 7
Williams and Baker, [28] Mogollon Plateau and Black Mesa, N Arizona combined GLO tree data 522
Williams and Baker, [28] Mogollon Plateau, N Arizona GLO tree data 828
Williams and Baker, [28] Blue Mts., NE Oregon GLO tree data 849

Studies are arranged by length of the fire rotation. Estimates from GLO data, FIA data, and early aerial photographs are shown in bold italics to emphasize their higher precision, while corroborative, less certain estimates from charcoal records are shown in regular type. The range of estimates in bold is used as the reference in this study.

1 Methods for reconstruction included using charcoal data from sediment, using early aerial photographs or historical records, using the GLO tree data and a calibrated model [28]. I did not use the GLO line data’s direct records of entry and exit in burned areas, as these records represent moderate- to high-severity fires, not exclusively high-severity fires [40].

2 These are intervals between severe fire episodes evident in alluvial deposits, that could approximate high-severity fire rotations, but are uncertain since area burned is not known and fire severity is more approximately reconstructed than with other methods. I considered data for the last 500 years from each paleo-environmental study, but also included in parentheses the interval between episodes in the last 2000 years, where this is available.

3 These authors indicate that it is difficult to determine fire severity from their methods, and only identify the recent fire frequency as 3 per 1000 years, but they indicate that the documented fire episodes were followed by up to 100 years of recovery, which does suggest severe fires, although this is my interpretation.

4 Fitch [32] suggested that low-severity fire dominated from 870 cal yr BP, but explains the possibility, but uncertainty, of a severe fire around 400 cal yr BP (p. 40), thus I include this single event, with a question mark, for the 500-year estimate. More certain is evidence of 3–5 severe fires in the last 2000 years (p. 42), but those all preceded 870 cal yr BP.

5 These authors were not focused on counting the number of fire-episodes over the last 2000 years, thus I roughly estimated this from Fig 5B in Pierce and Meyer [33] as between 7–13, as there are 7 broad peaks in this figure, but they also report 9 major debris flows between about 950 and 1150 AD, thus the total could reach as many as 13. No severe fires occurred in the last 500 years.

6 This author provided data on the number of watersheds, out of six sampled, that burned in high-severity events [36]. I used these data to approximate a high-severity fire rotation using the standard formula: period of observation / fraction of area burned. Thus, for the last 550 years, a total of 7 watersheds burned, thus the fire rotation is 550 / (7/6) = 471 years. And for the last 2000 years, a total of 18 watersheds burned, thus a fire rotation of 667 years. However, Bigio indicates that sample locations may be high in a watershed, thus it is not known that the whole watershed burned. This leaves these estimates as minima, which I have indicated by using “>” before the estimate.

7 These authors identify periods of severe-fire activity after c. 1800 cal, yr BP, a peak in 800–500 cal yr BP, and at least one large, severe fire in the last 400 years, thus perhaps 3 episodes in the last 2000 years and one in the last 500 years. However, this is my approximation from their data, as they do not report recurrence intervals for severe fire.