Table 2. Prediction of general criminal recidivism estimated by extended Cox-proportional-hazards regression (n = 148) a .
Block I | Standard Error | Hazard ratio (95% CI b ) |
Age | 0.01 | 0.99 (0.97–1.00) |
No. of convictions prior to the index crime | 0.01 | 1.00 (0.97–1.02) |
PCL-R variables | ||
Interpersonal PCL-R facet | 0.08 | 1.12 (0.97–1.29) |
Affective PCL-R facet | 0.06 | 1.05 (0.94–1.18) |
Lifestyle PCL-R facet | 0.06 | 1.06 (0.94–1.19) |
Antisocial PCL-R facet | 0.05 | 1.19 (1.09–1.30) |
Total HCR-20 score | 0.02 | 0.97 (0.94–1.01) |
Subgroup membership c | ||
Less troubled d | 0.43 | 1.24 (0.63–2.11) |
Severely triply troubled e | 0.37 | 1.46 (0.90–2.40) |
Triply troubled with medical problems f | 0.35 | 1.90 (1.32–2.74) |
Log pseudolikelihood –672.801 | ||
Block II | Standard Error | Hazard Ratio (95% CI b ) |
Age | 0.01 | 0.98 (0.96–1.00) |
No. of convictions prior to index crime | 0.01 | 1.00 (0.98–1.02) |
PCL-R variables | ||
Interpersonal PCL-R facet | 0.08 | 1.11 (0.96–1.29) |
Affective PCL-R facet | 0.06 | 1.07 (0.96–1.19) |
Lifestyle PCL-R facet | 0.06 | 1.05 (0.94–1.18) |
Antisocial PCL-R facet | 0.05 | 1.16 (1.06–1.27) |
Total HCR-20 score | 0.02 | 0.98 (0.94–1.01) |
Subgroup membership c | ||
Less troubled d | 0.40 | 1.22 (0.64–2.33) |
Severely triply troubled e | 0.37 | 1.43 (0.86–2.37) |
Triply troubled with medical problems f | 0.38 | 2.00 (1.36–2.95) |
Substance abuse intervention variables | ||
≥ 3 planned visits to an outpatient clinic g | 0.12 | 0.47 (0.29–0.77) |
Residence in dry housing h | 0.41 | 1.23 (0.64–2.37) |
Log pseudolikelihood –668.320 |
a Two participants had not been assigned a subgroup membership and were therefore excluded from the analysis [4].
b 95% CI = 95% Confidence Interval.
c The subgroups were defined with reference to the term “triply troubled”, referring to individuals with a combination of mental health problems, substance use problems, and criminal behavior [4,40]. Membership of the subgroup “Working triply troubled” (i.e. the subgroup with low levels of employment problems and medium levels of alcohol-, psychiatric-, and legal problems) was used as a reference category. Each of the remaining subgroups was compared to this particular group (not shown in the table).
d Subgroup with low degrees of various problems.
e Subgroup with severe legal-, psychiatric-, alcohol-, drug- and family/social problems.
f Subgroup with elevated legal-, medical-, psychiatric and drug problems.
g Compared to <3 planned visits to an outpatient clinic.
h Compared to no residence in dry housing.