Table 3. Predicted outcomes from an economic analysis comparing four further strategic options considered for the National Pest Management Strategy. Values include national expenditure in the first year and over a 55-year-time frame, net present value (NPV) over the first 30 years relative to an ad hoc option, and estimated time to achieve eradication of tuberculosis. All costs are in NZ$ million, using an 8% discount rate without inclusion of a terminal value (data from Anonymous 2009b).
Option | Year 1 expenditure ($) | Total 55 year expenditure ($) | NPV over 30 years ($) | Time to eradicate (years) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sustained control, no roll back | 67 | 3,204 | −228.5 | Not achieved |
Sustained control after roll-back | 73 | 2,650 | −246.7 | Not achieved |
Slow eradication | 76.9 | 2,263 | −128.7 | 45 |
Fast eradication | 92.7 | 1,804 | −128.8 | 30 |