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. 2015 Apr 2;63(sup1):98–107. doi: 10.1080/00480169.2015.1013581

Table 3. Predicted outcomes from an economic analysis comparing four further strategic options considered for the National Pest Management Strategy. Values include national expenditure in the first year and over a 55-year-time frame, net present value (NPV) over the first 30 years relative to an ad hoc option, and estimated time to achieve eradication of tuberculosis. All costs are in NZ$ million, using an 8% discount rate without inclusion of a terminal value (data from Anonymous 2009b).

Option Year 1 expenditure ($) Total 55 year expenditure ($) NPV over 30 years ($) Time to eradicate (years)
Sustained control, no roll back 67 3,204 −228.5 Not achieved
Sustained control after roll-back 73 2,650 −246.7 Not achieved
Slow eradication 76.9 2,263 −128.7 45
Fast eradication 92.7 1,804 −128.8 30