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. 2015 Sep 14;9(9):e0004043. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004043

Table 2. Multivariate analysis of risk factors for dengue incidence.

variable risk estimator 95% CI risk 95% CI p-value
Model-BI
BI lag-1-month medium+high 0.906 (0.828, 0.983) 2.47 (2.29, 2.67) <.0001
rain lag-2-week medium -0.106 (-0.188, -0.025) 0.385 (0.347, 0.428) 0.011
rain lag-2-week high -0.953 (-1.06, -0.848) 0.899 (0.829, 0.976) <.0001
rain lag-1-month medium 0.228 (0.152, 0.305) 1.26 (1.16, 1.36) <.0001
rain lag-1-month high 0.078 (-0.02, 0.177) 1.08 (0.98, 1.19) 0.118
temp lag-2-week medium -0.352 (-0.442, -0.261) 0.703 (0.643, 0.77) <.0001
temp lag-2-week high -1.06 (-1.17, -0.961) 0.345 (0.383, 0.345) <.0001
rh lag-2-week medium 0.401 (0.319, 0.484) 1.48 (1.38, 1.62) <.0001
rh lag-2-week high 1.08 (0.995, 1.16) 2.94 (2.71, 3.2) <.0001
Model-CI
CI lag-1-month medium+high 1.68 (1.58, 1.78) 5.35 (4.84, 5.92) <.0001
rain lag-2-week medium -0.193 (-0.274, -0.111) 0.432 (0.389, 0.479) <.0001
rain lag-2-week high -0.84 (-0.945, -0.736) 0.825 (0.76, 0.895) <.0001
rain lag-1-month medium 0.115 (0.037, 0.194) 1.12 (1.04, 1.21) 0.004
rain lag-1-month high -0.114 (-0.21, -0.018) 0.892 (0.811, 0.982) 0.02
temp lag-2-week medium -0.25 (-0.34, -0.159) 0.779 (0.712, 0.853) <.0001
temp lag-2-week high -1.1 (-1.2, -0.993) 0.334 (0.302, 0.371) <.0001
rh lag-2-week medium 0.451 (0.366, 0.535) 1.57 (1.44, 1.71) <.0001
rh lag-2-week high 0.808 (0.723, 0.894) 2.24 (2.06, 2.44) <.0001
Model-AI
AI lag-2-week medium+high 0.619 (0.549, 0.689) 1.86 (1.73, 1.99) <.0001
rain lag-2-week medium -0.13 (-0.211, -0.048) 0.389 (0.351, 0.433) 0.002
rain lag-2-week high -0.943 (-1.05, -0.838) 0.878 (0.81, 0.953) <.0001
rain lag-1-month medium 0.401 (0.326, 0.476) 1.49 (1.39, 1.61) <.0001
rain lag-1-month high 0.316 (0.221, 0.41) 1.37 (1.25, 1.51) <.0001
temp lag-2-week medium -0.471 (-0.559, -0.383) 0.625 (0.572, 0.625) <.0001
temp lag-2-week high -1.002 (-1.1, -0.9) 0.367 (0.331, 0.406) <.0001
rh lag-2-week medium 0.46 (0.378, 0.543) 1.59 (1.46, 1.72) <.0001
rh lag-2-week high 1.18 (1.1, 1.26) 3.25 (2.99, 3.54) <.0001
Model-HI
HI lag-1-month medium+high 0.807 (0.732, 0.882) 2.24 (2.08, 2.42) <.0001
rain lag-2-week medium -0.982 (-1.09, -0.878) 0.374 (0.337, 0.416) <.0001
rain lag-2-week high -0.142 (-0.223, -0.061) 0.868 (0.8, 0.941) 0.0006
rain lag-1-month medium 0.206 (0.129, 0.283) 1.23 (1.14, 1.33) <.0001
rain lag-1-month high 0.085 (-0.012, 0.183) 1.09 (0.988, 1.2) 0.087
temp lag-2-week medium -0.384 (-0.473, -0.295) 0.681 (0.623, 0.744) <.0001
temp lag-2-week high -1.06 (-1.16, -0.954) 0.348 (0.314, 0.385) <.0001
rh lag-2-week medium 0.413 (0.33, 0.496) 1.51 (1.39, 1.64) <.0001
rh lag-2-week high 1.09 (1.003, 1.17) 2.97 (2.73, 3.23) <.0001