Table 1.
Summary of advantages and disadvantages of different target populations in a cohort study of vaccine effectiveness, using PCV13 as an example.
Age of inclusion | Target group | Advantages | Disadvantages | Direction of Bias | Comment |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4–52 weeks | Post-neonatal infants | High recruitment of deceased infants | Includes vaccine ineligible infants | Overestimated VE | Includes infants who have not had the opportunity to be vaccinated (non-outstanding), therefore leading to higher vaccine effectivenessa |
6–52 weeks | Any dose age-eligible infants | Relatively high recruitment of deceased infants | High proportion of unvaccinated infants | Overestimated VE | |
14–52 weeks | Fully vaccinated infants: age-eligible for final dose |
Relatively high recruitment of deceased infants | Low vaccine coverage and protection | Unclear direction of bias | May decrease VE as vaccinated but unprotected infants are considered vaccinated. Or may increase VE as untimely vaccination leads to more unvaccinated infants being included |
16–52 weeks |
within 2 weeks of recommended week as a strict cut-off | Per guidelines definition of vaccination | Low vaccine coverage | Unclear direction of bias | |
18–52 weeks | within the recommended month as a moderate cut-off | Moderately high vaccine coverage | Low recruitment of deceased infants | Inconclusive VE | Using later cut-offs will decrease recruitment of deceased infants, reducing the power |
20–52 weeks | within 6 weeks of the recommended month as a moderate cut-off | Moderately high vaccine coverage | Low recruitment of deceased infants | Inconclusive VE | |
26–52 weeks | by 6 months of age as a liberal cut-off | High vaccine coverage | Low recruitment of deceased infants | Inconclusive VE |
PCV13: 13 valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine; VE: vaccine effectiveness.
In this scenario, infants who were not age-eligible for all doses but died before they had the opportunity to receive all doses would still be included in the analysis as either unvaccinated or partially vaccinated, increasing the apparent vaccine effectiveness.