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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2015 Oct 1;70(2):186–194. doi: 10.1097/QAI.0000000000000733

Figure 4.

Figure 4

HIV prevalence stratified by race and total number of new HIV infections over 15 years (Figure 4D) for the base-case scenario (Figure 4A) corresponding to Figures 1 and 2, for a counterfactual scenario where no HIV transmission occurs in outside partnerships of YMSM with older MSM or females (Figure 4C); and for a counterfactual scenario where HIV transmission risk in outside partnerships is reduced by 50% compared to the base-case scenario (Figure 4B). HIV infections from females was rare, see also caption of Figure 2.