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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Sep 17.
Published in final edited form as: JAMA Intern Med. 2014 Aug;174(8):1252–1261. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2014.2482

Table 3.

Age-Adjusted Cardiovascular Event Incidence Rates and Incidence Rate Ratios by SBP Category,a 1987–2010

Event Type Elevated SBP 1a Elevated SBP 2a
No. All Events Person-years AAIR IRR (95% CIs)b No. All Events Person-years AAIR IRR (95% CIs)b
Composite
 Total 1538 579 25 140 28.6 1.16 (1.01–1.34) 490 242 6717 42.7 1.73 (1.46–2.05)
 Male 681 300 10 253 34.1 1.19 (0.97–1.47) 203 104 2567 52.8 1.85 (1.43–2.40)
 Female 867 279 14 887 25.1 1.10 (0.91–1.34) 287 138 4149 36.8 1.61 (1.28–2.02)
 African American 639 272 9875 35.0 1.23 (1.00–1.51) 282 136 3647 43.3 1.52 (1.20–1.93)
 White 899 307 15 266 25.7 1.18 (0.97–1.43) 208 106 3071 41.8 1.92 (1.50–2.46)
HF
 Total 1637 447 28 493 22.4 1.14 (0.97–1.34) 541 182 7960 29.5 1.49 (1.23–1.81)
 Male 755 239 12 990 26.9 1.08 (0.86–1.35) 234 83 3189 35.7 1.44 (1.08–1.92)
 Female 882 208 16 183 18.9 1.15 (0.92–1.45) 307 99 4771 25.4 1.54 (1.18–2.02)
 African American 669 199 10 985 26.4 1.43 (1.12–1.83) 311 101 4304 28.9 1.57 (1.18–2.08)
 White 968 248 17 509 21.0 1.01 (0.82–1.25) 230 81 3656 30.0 1.44 (1.09–1.90)
Stroke
 Total 1752 201 31 132   7.17 1.05 (0.83–1.32) 574 106 8676 12.75 1.87 (1.43–2.44)
 Male 801 104 13 404   7.69 1.02 (0.73–1.43) 245 44 3429 14.3 1.90 (1.27–2.85)
 Female 951 97 17 727   6.9 1.08 (0.78–1.49) 329 62 5247 11.4 1.83 (1.28–2.61)
 African American 717 107 11 879   9.54 1.10 (0.80–1.52) 336 70 4768 14.2 1.63 (1.15–2.32)
 White 1035 94 19 253   6.18 1.09 (0.78–1.52) 238 36 3908 11.46 2.03 (1.33–3.09)
MI/CHD
 Total 1698 292 29 419 11.6 0.99 (0.82–1.20) 557 119 8319 16.5 1.41 (1.12–1.78)
 Male 753 165 12 169 14.8 0.88 (0.68–1.14) 227 58 3219 25.6 1.53 (1.10–2.13)
 Female 945 127 17 250   9.5 1.03 (0.78–1.36) 330 61 5100 10.9 1.18 (0.85–1.65)
 African American 700 121 11 690 12.8 1.00 (0.74–1.34) 329 67 4693 17.2 1.35 (0.97–1.88)
 White 998 171 17 728 10.9 1.00 (0.78–1.29) 228 52 3625 15.8 1.45 (1.03–2.04)

Abbreviations: AAIR, age-adjusted incidence rate; HF, heart failure; IRR, incidence rate ratio; MI/CHD, myocardial infarction/coronary heart disease death; SBP, systolic blood pressure.

a

Elevated SBP 1 is defined as 140 to 159 mm Hg; Elevated SBP 2, 160 mm Hg or higher.

b

Compared with low SBP (see Table 2).