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. 2015 Sep 17;15:379. doi: 10.1186/s12879-015-1115-5

Table 2.

Assumed distribution of wild poliovirus serotype 1 R0 values for the different income level and current polio vaccine use strata, as used in the global model, and assumed simplified burn-in period [23]a

Income level (as of 2013) Polio vaccine(s) used (as of 2013) Population size in billions (as of 2013) Years until OPV use startsb Year until IPV-only or IPV/OPV startsb Number of assigned blocks Number of blocks assigned to each R0 (for WPV1)
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Low OPV-only 0.86 33 N/A 8 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 1 1
Lower middle OPV-only 2.48 33 N/A 25 0 0 1 4 5 2 0 10 1 2
Upper middle OPV-only 1.87 20 N/A 19 0 0 1 16 2 0 0 0 0 0
Upper middle IPV/OPV 0.50 20 58 7 0 2 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
High IPV/OPV 0.23 10 50 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
High IPV-only 1.02 10 50 10c 2 7.7 0.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

aDoes not include countries with unspecified income level totaling approximately 23 million people and two high-income countries that still use OPV-only totaling approximately 34 million people (all as of 2013); Assigns 67 million people in IPV/OPV-using lower middle-income countries to IPV/OPV-using upper middle-income blocks, 74 million people in IPV-only using upper middle-income countries to IPV-only-using high-income blocks, and 23 million people in OPV-only-using high-income countries to OPV-using lower or upper middle-income blocks

bYears relative to beginning of burn-in period 65 years ago (i.e., 1950)

cIncludes some blocks with subpopulations assigned to different R0 values