Table 4.

Comparing 2006 model predictions with prevalence estimates from 2005–2006 NHANES (95% CI).

	Age 6–9 years		Age 10–13 years		Age 14–17 years
	OUR MODEL	NHANES	OUR MODEL	NHANES	OUR MODEL	NHANES
Normal	0.63	0.75 (0.68, 0.81)	0.60	0.63 (0.57, 0.68)	0.65	0.68 (0.64, 0.72)
Risk of Overweight	0.14	0.13 (0.10, 0.17)	0.20	0.18 (0.14, 0.21)	0.17	0.14 (0.12, 0.16)
Overweight Class 1	0.13	0.09 (0.06, 0.12)	0.15	0.15 (0.11, 0.19)	0.14	0.12 (0.10, 0.15)
Overweight Class 2	0.10	0.03 (0.02, 0.05)	0.06	0.04 (0.03, 0.06)	0.03	0.05 (0.03, 0.07)

	Age 18–39 years		Age 40–59 years		Age 60+ years
	OUR MODEL	NHANES	OUR MODEL	NHANES	OUR MODEL	NHANES
Normal	0.44	0.42 (0.38, 0.45)	0.28	0.28 (0.25, 0.31)	0.30	0.27 (0.24, 0.31)
Over-weight	0.29	0.3 (0.27, 0.32)	0.36	0.31 (0.28, 0.35)	0.36	0.37 (0.34, 0.39)
Obese Class 1	0.15	0.16 (0.14, 0.19)	0.21	0.21 (0.18, 0.23)	0.20	0.21 (0.19, 0.23)
Obese Class 2	0.06	0.07 (0.06, 0.09)	0.09	0.11 (0.09, 0.13)	0.09	0.08 (0.07, 0.09)
Obese Class 3	0.06	0.05 (0.04, 0.06)	0.07	0.09 (0.07, 0.11)	0.05	0.07 (0.05, 0.09)