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. 2015 Sep 23;10(9):e0138907. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0138907

Table 3. Association between different timing of ultrasonographic surveillance and the risk of mortality following hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis among patients with viral hepatitis: Cox proportional-hazards regression models, with survival times uncorrected and corrected for lead time bias.

Screening UnadjustedHR (95% CI) P-value Age-sex adjusted HR (95% CI) P-value Fully adjusted*HR (95% CI) P-value Fully adjusted HR (95% CI) P-value
Uncorrected for lead time bias
  Routine surveillance 0.623 (0.523, 0.743) <0.001 0.611 (0.512, 0.729) <0.001 0.666 (0.555, 0.799) <0.001 0.706 (0.589, 0.848) <0.001
  Inconsistent screening 0.819 (0.716, 0.936) 0.003 0.806 (0.704, 0.923) 0.002 0.833 (0.725, 0.956) 0.010 0.778 (0.677, 0.894) <0.001
  No screening 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent)
Corrected for lead time bias
Sojourn time = 42 days
Routine surveillance 0.655 (0.549, 0.781) <0.001 0.642 (0.538, 0.766) <0.001 0.692 (0.577, 0.830) <0.001 0.740 (0.617, 0.887) 0.001
Inconsistent screening 0.862 (0.754, 0.986) 0.030 0.849 (0.742, 0.972) 0.018 0.877 (0.764, 1.008) 0.064 0.830 (0.722, 0.953) 0.008
No screening 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent)
Sojourn time = 70 days
  Routine surveillance 0.672 (0.563, 0.801) <0.001 0.659 (0.552, 0.786) <0.001 0.711 (0.592, 0.852) <0.001 0.762 (0.635, 0.914) 0.003
  Inconsistent screening 0.886 (0.775, 1.012) 0.075 0.872 (0.762, 0.998) 0.047 0.902 (0.785, 1.036) 0.142 0.856 (0.745, 0.983) 0.028
  No screening 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent)
Sojourn time = 121 days
  Routine surveillance 0.699 (0.586, 0.833) <0.001 0.686 (0.574, 0.818) <0.001 0.741 (0.618, 0.888) 0.001 0.798 (0.665, 0.957) 0.015
  Inconsistent screening 0.921 (0.805, 1.052) 0.226 0.907 (0.792, 1.038) 0.155 0.937 (0.816, 1.076) 0.357 0.895 (0.779, 1.029) 0.119
  No screening 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent)
Sojourn time = 140 days
  Routine surveillance 0.709 (0.595, 0.846) <0.001 0.696 (0.583, 0.830) <0.001 0.753 (0.628, 0.903) 0.002 0.812 (0.677, 0.974) 0.025
  Inconsistent screening 0.935 (0.818, 1.069) 0.323 0.921 (0.804, 1.054) 0.230 0.951 (0.828, 1.093) 0.481 0.912 (0.794, 1.047) 0.191
  No screening 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent)
  Sojourn time = 180 days
  Routine surveillance 0.727 (0.610, 0.866) <0.001 0.713 (0.597, 0.851) <0.001 0.773 (0.644, 0.927) 0.005 0.836 (0.697, 1.002) 0.053
  Inconsistent screening 0.958 (0.838, 1.095) 0.528 0.943 (0.824, 1.08) 0.398 0.977 (0.850, 1.122) 0.740 0.938 (0.817, 1.078) 0.366
  No screening 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent)
  Sojourn time = 614 days
  Routine surveillance 0.861 (0.722, 1.026) 0.095 0.846 (0.709, 1.009) 0.063 0.921 (0.768, 1.104) 0.373 1.002 (0.836, 1.202) 0.980
  Inconsistent screening 1.134 (0.992, 1.297) 0.065 1.118 (0.977, 1.280) 0.105 1.161 (1.010, 1.334) 0.036 1.125 (0.979, 1.292) 0.098
  No screening 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (referent)

*Adjusted for: age at HCC diagnosis; sex; rural residence; income quintile; Charlson-Deyo Comorbidity Index; diabetes diagnosis; indicators of severe liver disease: No alcoholic liver disease (ALD)+no cirrhosis; No ALD+Cirrhosis only; No ALD+Decompensated cirrhosis; ALD+No cirrhosis; ALD+Cirrhosis; ALD+Decompensated cirrhosis; Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)+Cirrhosis; and index year of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosis.

All covariates, including receipt of HCC curative treatment (i.e., surgical resection, liver transplantation, or radiofrequency ablation). Variables modeled as time-dependent covariate include: Charlson-Deyo Comorbidity Index; diabetes diagnosis; and HCC curative treatment.