Table 3. Association between different timing of ultrasonographic surveillance and the risk of mortality following hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis among patients with viral hepatitis: Cox proportional-hazards regression models, with survival times uncorrected and corrected for lead time bias.
Screening | UnadjustedHR (95% CI) | P-value | Age-sex adjusted HR (95% CI) | P-value | Fully adjusted*HR (95% CI) | P-value | Fully adjusted † HR (95% CI) | P-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Uncorrected for lead time bias | ||||||||
Routine surveillance | 0.623 (0.523, 0.743) | <0.001 | 0.611 (0.512, 0.729) | <0.001 | 0.666 (0.555, 0.799) | <0.001 | 0.706 (0.589, 0.848) | <0.001 |
Inconsistent screening | 0.819 (0.716, 0.936) | 0.003 | 0.806 (0.704, 0.923) | 0.002 | 0.833 (0.725, 0.956) | 0.010 | 0.778 (0.677, 0.894) | <0.001 |
No screening | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | ||||
Corrected for lead time bias | ||||||||
Sojourn time = 42 days | ||||||||
Routine surveillance | 0.655 (0.549, 0.781) | <0.001 | 0.642 (0.538, 0.766) | <0.001 | 0.692 (0.577, 0.830) | <0.001 | 0.740 (0.617, 0.887) | 0.001 |
Inconsistent screening | 0.862 (0.754, 0.986) | 0.030 | 0.849 (0.742, 0.972) | 0.018 | 0.877 (0.764, 1.008) | 0.064 | 0.830 (0.722, 0.953) | 0.008 |
No screening | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | ||||
Sojourn time = 70 days | ||||||||
Routine surveillance | 0.672 (0.563, 0.801) | <0.001 | 0.659 (0.552, 0.786) | <0.001 | 0.711 (0.592, 0.852) | <0.001 | 0.762 (0.635, 0.914) | 0.003 |
Inconsistent screening | 0.886 (0.775, 1.012) | 0.075 | 0.872 (0.762, 0.998) | 0.047 | 0.902 (0.785, 1.036) | 0.142 | 0.856 (0.745, 0.983) | 0.028 |
No screening | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | ||||
Sojourn time = 121 days | ||||||||
Routine surveillance | 0.699 (0.586, 0.833) | <0.001 | 0.686 (0.574, 0.818) | <0.001 | 0.741 (0.618, 0.888) | 0.001 | 0.798 (0.665, 0.957) | 0.015 |
Inconsistent screening | 0.921 (0.805, 1.052) | 0.226 | 0.907 (0.792, 1.038) | 0.155 | 0.937 (0.816, 1.076) | 0.357 | 0.895 (0.779, 1.029) | 0.119 |
No screening | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | ||||
Sojourn time = 140 days | ||||||||
Routine surveillance | 0.709 (0.595, 0.846) | <0.001 | 0.696 (0.583, 0.830) | <0.001 | 0.753 (0.628, 0.903) | 0.002 | 0.812 (0.677, 0.974) | 0.025 |
Inconsistent screening | 0.935 (0.818, 1.069) | 0.323 | 0.921 (0.804, 1.054) | 0.230 | 0.951 (0.828, 1.093) | 0.481 | 0.912 (0.794, 1.047) | 0.191 |
No screening | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | ||||
Sojourn time = 180 days | ||||||||
Routine surveillance | 0.727 (0.610, 0.866) | <0.001 | 0.713 (0.597, 0.851) | <0.001 | 0.773 (0.644, 0.927) | 0.005 | 0.836 (0.697, 1.002) | 0.053 |
Inconsistent screening | 0.958 (0.838, 1.095) | 0.528 | 0.943 (0.824, 1.08) | 0.398 | 0.977 (0.850, 1.122) | 0.740 | 0.938 (0.817, 1.078) | 0.366 |
No screening | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | ||||
Sojourn time = 614 days | ||||||||
Routine surveillance | 0.861 (0.722, 1.026) | 0.095 | 0.846 (0.709, 1.009) | 0.063 | 0.921 (0.768, 1.104) | 0.373 | 1.002 (0.836, 1.202) | 0.980 |
Inconsistent screening | 1.134 (0.992, 1.297) | 0.065 | 1.118 (0.977, 1.280) | 0.105 | 1.161 (1.010, 1.334) | 0.036 | 1.125 (0.979, 1.292) | 0.098 |
No screening | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) |
*Adjusted for: age at HCC diagnosis; sex; rural residence; income quintile; Charlson-Deyo Comorbidity Index; diabetes diagnosis; indicators of severe liver disease: No alcoholic liver disease (ALD)+no cirrhosis; No ALD+Cirrhosis only; No ALD+Decompensated cirrhosis; ALD+No cirrhosis; ALD+Cirrhosis; ALD+Decompensated cirrhosis; Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)+Cirrhosis; and index year of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosis.
†All covariates, including receipt of HCC curative treatment (i.e., surgical resection, liver transplantation, or radiofrequency ablation). Variables modeled as time-dependent covariate include: Charlson-Deyo Comorbidity Index; diabetes diagnosis; and HCC curative treatment.