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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). 2015 Oct;67(10):1345–1353. doi: 10.1002/acr.22606

Appendix 2.

a: Performance Characteristics of CDAI Cut points versus Patient Self-reported Improvement and Pain in CATCH including fibromyalgia patients (n=611 unique patients contributing 1231 pairs)
Variables Improved CDAI
Cutpoint for
Improvement
(Starting
Disease
Activity)
N* Sensitivity
(95% CI)**
Specificity
(95% CI)**
Positive
Predictive
Value
(95% CI)**
Negative
Predictive
Value
(95% CI)**
Patient self-reported improvement (better vs. same/worse) 1 (low) 390 65 (60,69) 70 (65,74) 74 (69,78) 60 (55,65)
6 (moderate) 467 57 (53,62) 78 (74,81) 80 (76,83) 54 (49,58)
12 (high) 374 84 (80,88) 58 (53,63) 80 (76,84) 65 (60,69)
Pain (>1 vs. ≤ 1) 1 (low) 362 84 (80,87) 60 (55,65) 37 (32,42) 93 (90,96)
6 (moderate) 439 63 (59,68) 69 (65,73) 55 (51,60) 76 (71,80)
12 (high) 343 86 (82,89) 55 (50,60) 72 (67,77) 74 (69,79)
Pain (>2 vs. ≤ 2) 1 (low) 362 83 (79,86) 55 (50,60) 18 (14,22) 96 (94,98)
6 (moderate) 439 67 (63,72) 64 (60,69) 38 (33,42) 86 (83,89)
12 (high) 343 88 (84,91) 51 (45,56) 64 (59,69) 81 (76,85)
HAQ (> 0.31 vs. ≤ 0.31) 1 (low) 364 61 (56,66) 53 (48,58) 17 (13,21) 90 (87,93)
6 (moderate) 439 61 (56,65) 64 (60,69) 42 (38,47) 79 (75,83)
12 (high) 342 81 (77,85) 49 (43,54) 67 (62,72) 66 (61,71)
b: Performance Characteristics of CDAI Cut points versus Patient Self-reported Improvement and Pain in CATCH, including fibromyalgia patients (n=392 unique patients contributing 641 pairs)
Worsening in CDAI
Cutpoint
for
Worsening
N* Sensitivity(
95% CI)**
Specificity
(95% CI)**
Positive
Predictive
Value
(95% CI)**
Negative
Predictive
Value
(95% CI)**
Patient self-reported worsening (worse vs. same/better) 2 641 57 (54,61) 82 (79,85) 38 (34,41) 91 (89,93)
Pain (>1 vs. ≤1) 2 595 66 (63,70) 84 (81,87) 46 (42,50) 92 (90,95)
Pain (>2 vs. ≤2) 2 595 71 (67,74) 81 (78,84) 32 (28,35) 96 (94,97)
HAQ (> 0.31 vs. ≤0.31) 2 596 66 (62,69) 80 (77,83) 29 (25,32) 95 (93,97)
*

n’s slightly vary across rows due to missing data for each outcome measure; rows for pain and HAQ are subsets of the first row for patient self-reported improvement;

**

results shown as % (95% Confidence Interval)

*

n’s slightly vary across rows due to missing data for each outcome measure; rows for pain and HAQ are subsets of the first row for patient self-reported improvement;

**

results shown as % (95% Confidence Interval)