Table 3.
The corresponding Bayes factor and AIC about four models based on A/H1N1 and Ebola data.
| Data source | j′ | j | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logistic | Gompertz | Rosenzweig | Richards | ||
| H1N1 | Logistic | 1 | Inf | Inf | 1.34 |
| Gompertz0 | 0 | 1 | / | — | |
| Rosenzweig0 | 0 | / | 1 | — | |
| Richards model | 0.75 | Inf | Inf | 1 | |
| AIC | 249 | 362 | 592 | 254 | |
|
| |||||
| West Africa | Logistic | 1 | Inf | Inf | 2.1528 |
| Gompertz0 | 0 | 1 | / | — | |
| Rosenzweig0 | 0 | / | 1 | — | |
| Richards model | 0.4645 | Inf | Inf | 1 | |
| AIC | 5200 | 49500 | 1872800 | 5400 | |
|
| |||||
| Guinea | Logistic | 1 | Inf | Inf | 1.25 |
| Gompertz0 | 0 | 1 | / | — | |
| Rosenzweig0 | 0 | / | 1 | — | |
| Richards model | 0.8 | Inf | Inf | 1 | |
| AIC | 1991 | 3427 | 18476 | 1998 | |
|
| |||||
| Liberia | Logistic | 1 | Inf | Inf | — |
| Gompertz0 | 0 | 1 | / | — | |
| Rosenzweig0 | 0 | / | 1 | — | |
| Richards model | 5∗105 | Inf | Inf | 1 | |
| AIC | 6308 | 6547 | 7980 | 2559 | |
|
| |||||
| Sierra Leona | Logistic | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gompertz | 102310 | 1 | 2.96 | 0.28 | |
| Rosenzweig | 34750 | 0.34 | 1 | 0.095 | |
| Richards model | 362940 | 3.55 | 10.48 | 1 | |
| AIC | 15432 | 6251 | 7038 | 5400 | |
— means a very small number.
Inf means a sufficiently big number.
0 means the probability of being chosen for model is zero.
/ means a no number (i.e., 0/0).