Table 5.
The estimations of R 0, turning point t i, and final size for the best model.
| Data source | R 0 | 95% CI | t i | 95% CI | Final size | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1N1 | 1.9005 | (1.8869, 1.9142) | 231 | (22, 24) | 1013∗ | (996, 1030) |
| West Africa | 1.3522 | (1.3506, 1.3537) | 2272 | (226, 228) | 257943 | (25630, 25958) |
| Guinea | 1.2101 | (1.2084, 1.2119) | 2394 | (237, 241) | 39165 | (3865, 3967) |
| Liberia | 3.0234 | (2.6063, 3.4881) | 1306 | (121, 149) | 98867 | (9740, 10031) |
| Sierra Leona | 1.9018 | (1.8565, 1.9478) | 1658 | (157, 174) | 126339 | (12515, 12750) |
1Denoting turning point during Sep. 25–Sep. 27, 2009.
2Denoting turning point during Nov. 6–Nov. 8, 2014.
3Denoting the final time during Sep. 13–Sep. 17, 2015.
4Denoting turning point during Nov. 15–Nov. 19, 2014.
5Denoting the final time during Dec. 24–Dec. 31, 2015.
6Denoting turning point during Sep. 23–Oct. 21, 2014.
7Denoting the final time during Sep. 19–Sep. 26, 2015.
8Denoting turning point during Oct. 27–Nov. 12, 2014.
9Denoting the final time during Dec. 15–Dec. 22, 2015.
∗the first stage cannot reach final size because of the beginning of the second stage.