Table 6.
Survival probabilities by patient age and diabetic status
| Patient Age and Diabetic Status | Probability of Being Alive at 5 yr after Wait-Listing | Probability of Being Alive with Functioning Allograft 5 yr after Wait-Listing |
|---|---|---|
| Nondiabetic patients aged 60–64 yr | ||
| ECD after 1 yr | 0.77 (0.75, 0.79) | 0.68 (0.66, 0.71) |
| ECD after 2 yr | 0.76 (0.74, 0.77) | 0.69 (0.67, 0.71) |
| ECD after 3 yr | 0.72 (0.71, 0.73) | 0.66 (0.64, 0.67) |
| ECD after 4 yr | 0.65 (0.64, 0.66) | 0.61 (0.59, 0.62) |
| Non-ECD after 1 yr | 0.82 (0.81, 0.83) | 0.77 (0.76, 0.78) |
| Non-ECD after 2 yr | 0.78 (0.77, 0.79) | 0.75 (0.74, 0.76) |
| Non-ECD after 3 yr | 0.73 (0.72, 0.74) | 0.70 (0.69, 0.71) |
| Non-ECD after 4 yr | 0.66 (0.65, 0.67) | 0.63 (0.62, 0.65) |
| Diabetic patients aged 60–64 yr | ||
| ECD after 1 yr | 0.68 (0.65, 0.70) | 0.60 (0.57, 0.62) |
| ECD after 2 yr | 0.66 (0.64, 0.68) | 0.60 (0.57, 0.62) |
| ECD after 3 yr | 0.60 (0.59, 0.62) | 0.55 (0.53, 0.57) |
| ECD after 4 yr | 0.52 (0.50, 0.53) | 0.48 (0.47, 0.50) |
| Non-ECD after 1 yr | 0.73 (0.72, 0.75) | 0.69 (0.67, 0.70) |
| Non-ECD after 2 yr | 0.70 (0.68, 0.71) | 0.66 (0.65, 0.68) |
| Non-ECD after 3 yr | 0.62 (0.61, 0.63) | 0.60 (0.58, 0.61) |
| Non-ECD after 4 yr | 0.53 (0.52, 0.54) | 0.51 (0.50, 0.52) |
| Nondiabetic patients aged 65–69 yr | ||
| ECD after 1 yr | 0.74 (0.72, 0.76) | 0.67 (0.65, 0.69) |
| ECD after 2 yr | 0.71 (0.70, 0.73) | 0.65 (0.64, 0.67) |
| ECD after 3 yr | 0.66 (0.64, 0.67) | 0.61 (0.60, 0.63) |
| ECD after 4 yr | 0.58 (0.56, 0.59) | 0.55 (0.54, 0.57) |
| Non-ECD after 1 yr | 0.77 (0.76, 0.78) | 0.73 (0.72, 0.75) |
| Non-ECD after 2 yr | 0.74 (0.73, 0.75) | 0.71 (0.69, 0.72) |
| Non-ECD after 3 yr | 0.67 (0.66, 0.68) | 0.64 (0.63, 0.65) |
| Non-ECD after 4 yr | 0.59 (0.58, 0.60) | 0.57 (0.56, 0.58) |
| Diabetic patients aged 65–69 yr | ||
| ECD at 1 yr | 0.63 (0.60, 0.66) | 0.57 (0.54, 0.60) |
| ECD at 2 yr | 0.62 (0.59, 0.64) | 0.56 (0.54, 0.58) |
| ECD at 3 yr | 0.55 (0.54, 0.57) | 0.51 (0.49, 0.53) |
| ECD at 4 yr | 0.46 (0.45, 0.48) | 0.44 (0.42, 0.45) |
| Non-ECD at 1 yr | 0.72 (0.70, 0.73) | 0.69 (0.67, 0.71) |
| Non-ECD at 2 yr | 0.66 (0.65, 0.68) | 0.64 (0.63, 0.65) |
| Non-ECD at 3 yr | 0.58 (0.57, 0.59) | 0.56 (0.55, 0.57) |
| Non-ECD at 4 yr | 0.47 (0.45, 0.48) | 0.47 (0.45, 0.48) |
| Nondiabetic patients≥70 yr | ||
| ECD at 1 yr | 0.67 (0.65, 0.69) | 0.60 (0.58, 0.63) |
| ECD at 2 yr | 0.65 (0.63, 0.67) | 0.59 (0.57, 0.61) |
| ECD at 3 yr | 0.56 (0.55, 0.58) | 0.52 (0.50, 0.54) |
| ECD at 4 yr | 0.47 (0.45, 0.48) | 0.44 (0.43, 0.46) |
| Non-ECD at 1 yr | 0.75 (0.74, 0.77) | 0.72 (0.70, 0.73) |
| Non-ECD at 2 yr | 0.70 (0.68, 0.71) | 0.67 (0.66, 0.69) |
| Non-ECD at 3 yr | 0.61 (0.60, 0.62) | 0.58 (0.57, 0.60) |
| Non-ECD at 4 yr | 0.49 (0.47, 0.50) | 0.47 (0.46, 0.49) |
| Diabetic patients≥70 yr | ||
| ECD at 1 yr | 0.52 (0.47, 0.56) | 0.47 (0.43, 0.51) |
| ECD at 2 yr | 0.51 (0.48, 0.54) | 0.47 (0.44, 0.50) |
| ECD at 3 yr | 0.43 (0.41, 0.45) | 0.40 (0.37, 0.42) |
| ECD at 4 yr | 0.37 (0.35, 0.40) | 0.34 (0.32, 0.36) |
| Non-ECD at 1 yr | 0.62 (0.59, 0.65) | 0.59 (0.56, 0.62) |
| Non-ECD at 2 yr | 0.56 (0.54, 0.59) | 0.54 (0.52, 0.56) |
| Non-ECD at 3 yr | 0.46 (0.44, 0.49) | 0.45 (0.43, 0.47) |
| Non-ECD at 4 yr | 0.39 (0.36, 0.41) | 0.37 (0.35, 0.40) |
Values in parentheses are expressed as 95% confidence intervals.