Table 1. Recent cholera epidemics in the African continent.
| Country | Region(Case Fatality Ratio) | Outbreak Month | Coordinates for data | Tprob a (Two month lead) | Pprob b (One month lead) | Societal disturbance | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Sudan | Juba (5%) | April 2014 | 4°-5°N; 31°-32°E | 0.021(Feb 14) | 0.005(March 14) | Civil unrest | [21,22] |
| Central African Republic (CAR) | Mongoumba(13%) | September2011 | 4°-5°N; 18°-19°E | <0.001(July 11) | 0.101(August 11) | Natural Hazard (Floods) | [23,24] |
| Rwanda | Rutsiro(50%) | November2012 | 2°-1°S;29.5°-30.5°E | <0.001(Sept 12) | <0.001(October 12) | Natural Hazard(Floods) | [25,26] |
| Cameroon | Nord Region (13%) | September2009 | 9.5°-10.5°N; 14°-15°E | 0.012(July 09) | 0.023(August 09) | Natural Hazard(Floods) | [27–29] |
| Mozambique | Delgado(1%) | February2013 | 12.5°S-11.5°S;39°-40°E | <0.001(Dec 12) | 0.002(January 13) | Natural Hazard(Floods) | [30,31] |
aTprob, for temperature, is the probability (according to two tail t-test) that value in the month is equal to zero (difference between value for that month and the long term average should be zero). For example, a probability value of less than 0.05 (95% confidence level) rejects the null hypothesis that the value is equal to zero.
bPprob is calculated similarly to Tprob, but for precipitation. Coordinates indicate regions where TRMM data were obtained