Table 2. Predicted decreases in deaths expressed as a percentage of total expected CHD deaths in 2030 –Ideal & Modest Future Risk Factor Scenarios.
| Predicted percentage* DPPAssumed lower mortality in 2030 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NI | RoI | Sco | |
| Ideal Scenarios | |||
| Smoking -15% | 5.8 (1.5–11.0) | 6.2 (-1.0–15.2) | 7.2 (1.6–14.2) |
| Salt -30% | 5.3 (3.1–8.1) | 5.6 (1.6–10.3) | 5.2 (2.4–8.8) |
| Sat/ Unsat fats -6% | 8.6 (5.2–12.6) | 7.8 (1.4–15.0) | 9 (4.4–15.5) |
| Phy Inactivity -15% | 3.6 (0.3–6.7) | 3.6 (-0.5–8.0) | 3.1 (0.3–5.5) |
| Modest Scenarios | |||
| Smoking -5% | 2.5 (0.6–4.7) | 2.3 (-0.3–5.5) | 2.6 (0.6–5.0) |
| Salt -10% | 1.9 (1.1–3.0) | 2.0 (0.5–3.8) | 1.9 (0.9–3.3) |
| Sat/ Unsat fats -2% | 3.3 (2.0–4.9) | 3.0 (0.5–5.7) | 3.5 (1.7–5.6) |
| Phy Inactivity -5% | 1.2 (-0.5–3.3) | 1.3 (-0.5–3.3) | 1.1 (0.1–2.1) |
| Expected Deaths | 646 (439–860) | 1773 (682–2936) | 2562 (1324–3916) |
*Expressed as a percentage of expected deaths in 2030