Table 1. Results of the National Lung Screening Trial (1).
Low dose CT | Conventional chest radiography | Relative effect size | 95% CI | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N | % | N | % | |||
Participants | 26722 | 26732 | ||||
Compliance | 95.0 | 93.0 | ||||
Screening examinations | 75126 | 73470 | ||||
Positive results | 18146 | 24.2 | 5043 | 6.9 | ||
|
17 497 | 96.4 | 4764 | 94.5 | ||
|
649 | 3.6 | 279 | 5.5 | ||
Conspicuous result without suspicion of malignancy | 5622 | 7.5 | 1575 | 2.1 | ||
At least one positive result (proportion of participants) | 39.1 | 16.0 | ||||
Lung cancer diagnosed | 1060 | 941 | ||||
|
649 | 279 | ||||
|
44 | 137 | ||||
|
367 | 525 | ||||
Program sensitivity*2 | 94.1 | 67.9 | ||||
Incidence of lung cancer (per 100000 person years) | 645 | 572 | 1.13 | 1.03–1.23 | ||
Deaths (from any cause) | 1877 | 2000 | ||||
Relative reduction in overall mortality (%) | 6.7 | 1.2–13.6 | ||||
Unknown cause of death | 12 | 9 | ||||
Known cause of death | 1865 | 1991 | ||||
|
427 | 22.9 | 503 | 25.3 | ||
|
416 | 22.3 | 442 | 22.2 | ||
|
486 | 26.1 | 470 | 23.6 | ||
|
175 | 9.4 | 226 | 11.4 | ||
|
12 | 0.6 | 7 | 0.4 | ||
|
349 | 18.7 | 343 | 17.2 | ||
Lung cancer deaths, without DCO | 356 | 443 | ||||
Lung cancer mortality (per 100000), without DCO | 247 | 309 | 0.80 | 0.73–0.93 | ||
Relative risk reduction (%) | 20.0 | 6.8–26.7 | ||||
Participants with at least one screening | 26455 | 26232 | ||||
|
346 | 1.3 | 425 | 1.6 | ||
Number needed to screen | 320 | |||||
Number needed to harm*3 | ||||||
|
307–453 | |||||
|
192–281 | |||||
|
1406–2671 | |||||
|
109–163 | |||||
|
1272–3815 |
*1Altogether there were 3875 death certificates, 1877 in the low dose CT group and 1998 in the conventional radiography group; the cause of death was unknown in 12 and 7 persons respectively; the denominators for the percentages of causes of death relate to all deaths for which the cause was known, i.e., 1865 and 1991 deaths respectively; overall (low dose CT and conventional radiography) lung cancer was diagnosed 892 times, n=35 in participants who were not screened at all, n=802 in screened participants but after the end of the screening phase, and n=55 in persons who were The program scheduled for but had not yet undergone screening
*2sensitivity for the first 3 years was calculated from the data of Patz et al. See (9).
*3 eBox 3
CT, computed tomography; N, number; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; DCO, death certificate only (deaths for which the death certificate is the only source of information); for definitions of major, intermediate, and minor complications, see eBox 2