Table 2.
Referral sample excluding high security (n = 175) | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | SD | Median | AUC | 95 % CI | p | Sens | Spec | PCC | |
S1: Seriousness of violence | 2.71 | 0.92 | 3 | 0.70 | 0.62–0.77 | <.001 | 78.2 | 61.5 | 70.0 |
S2: Seriousness of self-harm | 1.29 | 1.41 | 1 | 0.51 | 0.43–0.59 | .799 | 55.2 | 47.0 | 51.2 |
S3: Immediacy of violence | 2.57 | 1.17 | 2 | 0.76 | 0.69–0.83 | <.001 | 95.4 | 34.9 | 65.9 |
S4: Immediacy of self-harm | 1.21 | 1.39 | 1 | 0.53 | 0.45–0.62 | .601 | 97.7 | 3.6 | 51.8 |
S5: Specialist forensic need | 2.23 | 0.91 | 2 | 0.72 | 0.64–0.79 | <.001 | 94.3 | 42.2 | 68.8 |
S6: Absconding/eloping | 2.33 | 0.88 | 2 | 0.69 | 0.61–0.76 | <.001 | 95.4 | 22.9 | 60.0 |
S7: Preventing access | 2.31 | 0.74 | 2 | 0.69 | 0.61–0.76 | <.001 | 97.7 | 15.7 | 57.7 |
S8: Victim sensitivity | 1.90 | 1.20 | 2 | 0.64 | 0.56–0.72 | .001 | 69.0 | 59.0 | 64.1 |
S9: Complex risk of violence | 2.47 | 1.01 | 2 | 0.62 | 0.54–0.70 | .009 | 94.3 | 15.9 | 56.2 |
S10: Institutional behaviour | 2.04 | 1.06 | 2 | 0.57 | 0.48–0.65 | .089 | 71.3 | 27.7 | 50.0 |
S11: Legal process | 2.58 | 0.91 | 3 | 0.76 | 0.69–0.83 | .001 | 77.0 | 74.1 | 75.6 |
D1 Total score | 23.7 | 6.38 | 24 | 0.79 | 0.72–0.85 | <.001 | 77.0 | 70.0 | 73.7 |
D1 + D2 TOTAL score | 38.5 | 7.62 | 39 | 0.74 | 0.55–0.94 | .016 | 58.7 | 76.9 | 61.4 |
NB: Sens = sensitivity; spec specificity; PCC Percentage Correctly Classified