Table 1.
Pr(Screen | FH Polyps) | Pr(Screen | FH CRC) | Pr(CRC Prevented | Polyp Detected) |
G1 Bias |
G2 Bias |
G3 Bias |
|||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CRC vs. No CRC |
CRC vs. Neither CRC Nor Detected Polypc | CRC or Detected Polyp vs. Neitherd | CRC vs. No CRC |
CRC vs. Neither CRC Nor Detected Polypc | CRC or Detected Polyp vs. Neitherd | CRC vs. No CRC |
CRC vs. Neither CRC Nor Detected Polypc | CRC or Detected Polyp vs. Neitherd | ||||||
Unadjusteda | Adjusted for Polypsb | Unadjusteda | Adjusted for Polypsb | Unadjusteda | Adjusted for Polypsb | |||||||||
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −3 | −61e | −41e | 55e | 0 | 8 | 17 | −13 | −4 | 2 | −16 | −30e |
0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2 | −65e | −43e | 61e | −1 | 7 | 16 | −14 | 7 | 15 | −8 | −25 |
0.00 | 0.75 | 0.00 | −4 | −93e | −64e | 73e | 2 | 18 | 36e | −18 | 2 | 18 | −17 | −41e |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | −10 | −51e | −23 | 98e | −3 | −1 | 7 | −17 | 6 | 7 | −8 | −20 |
0.25 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 2 | −91e | −47e | 147e | −2 | 4 | 24 | −21 | −2 | 3 | −23 | −41e |
Abbreviations: CRC, colorectal cancer; FH, family history; G1–G3, simulated genes related to CRC development through risk of polyps, risk of CRC but not polyps, and progression from polyps to CRC, respectively; ln RR, natural log of relative risk; Pr, probability.
a Strategy 1: standard error of ln RR = 0.086.
b Strategy 2: standard error of ln RR = 0.091.
c Strategy 3: standard error of ln RR = 0.115.
d Strategy 4: standard error of ln RR = 0.086.
e Absolute bias is greater than 25% of the true value.