Observed versus predicted prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD)
stages 3–5 in the M-CARE and Veterans Affairs (VA) health care systems.
Predicted prevalence was derived from a logistic regression model fitted using
the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2005–2006
data set to predict the presence of CKD stages 3–5 based on age, race
(non-Hispanic black vs nonblack), diabetes mellitus, hypertension, anemia, and
sex. The coefficients from this model were used to produce estimates of the
prevalence of CKD within the VA and M-CARE cohorts based on the respective
characteristics of those populations. Observed and predicted prevalence are
shown for both the population tested for serum creatinine (Tested Population)
and those not tested (Untested Population). The predicted prevalence presented
for the total population is a combination of the observed prevalence in the
tested population and the prevalence in the untested population based on the
NHANES model. The vertical thin bars represent 95% confidence
intervals.