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. 2015 Oct 5;5(10):e007163. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2014-007163

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Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions

This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/

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The monthly number of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus cases in Oslo County: September 1997 to 2010. Thick black curve: based on exponential LSF of data. Thin black curve: based on linear LSF of data. Red dashed curve: 95% confidence bounds for exponential and linear LSF of the data. Blue curve: based on exponential LSF of simulated data. ▪: Data, □: Stochastic simulation based on the Poisson distribution.⋆: Stochastic simulation based on the γ-Poisson distribution.

Inline graphic — The monthly number of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus cases in Oslo County: September 1997 to 2010. Thick black curve: based on exponential LSF of data. Thin black curve: based on linear LSF of data. Red dashed curve: 95% confidence bounds for exponential and linear LSF of the data. Blue curve: based on exponential LSF of simulated data. ▪: Data, □: Stochastic simulation based on the Poisson distribution.⋆: Stochastic simulation based on the γ-Poisson distribution.