. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Oct 1.

Published in final edited form as: Demography. 2015 Oct;52(5):1409–1430. doi: 10.1007/s13524-015-0414-1

Table 2.

Predicting age-specific shares currently divorced in 1880 (number per 1,000 age-specific population, logged), county-level data by race for Southern states: Census data

	White			Black			Racial Diff. (W – B) Model 3
	Model 1	Model 2	Model 3	Model 1	Model 2	Model 3	Racial Diff. (W – B) Model 3
Age 15–19
% Tenant Farmed	−.0034	−.0036	−.0024	.0258	.0245	.0217	−.0241
	(.0044)	(.0045)	(.0043)	(.0043)^***	(.0043)^***	(.0043)^***	(.0061)^***
Age 20–29
% Tenant Farmed	−.0069	−.0079	−.0005	.0373	.0369	.0359	−.0364
	(.0047)	(.0047)	(.0043)	(.0063)^***	(.0062)^***	(.0061)^***	(.0074)^***
Age 30–39
% Tenant Farmed	−.0015	−.0017	.0041	.0295	.0289	.0270	−.0230
	(.0047)	(.0048)	(.0045)	(.0069)^***	(.0068)^***	(.0068)^***	(.0082)^**
Age 40–49
% Tenant Farmed	−.0076	−.0064	.0037	.0429	.0419	.0391	−.0354
	(.0054)	(.0055)	(.0052)	(.0068)^***	(.0068)^***	(.0068)^***	(.0086)^***
Age 50+
% Tenant Farmed	−.0089	−.0092	−.0020	.0497	.0495	.0481	−.0501
	(.0053)	(.0053)	(.0050)	(.0065)^***	(.0064)^***	(.0063)^***	(.0081)^***
County Covariates		Yes	Yes		Yes	Yes	Yes
State Fixed Effects			Yes			Yes	Yes

Notes: Standard errors, adjusted for spatial clustering with spatial autoregressive error, are shown in parentheses. County covariates are race-specific and include female-to-male population ratios for ages 15–19, 20–29, 30–39, 40–49, and 50+, plus population density. The intercept is also included and suppressed from the output. Sample size varies by age, as some age-by-race-by-county cells are empty. N range = (1,251, 1,256) for white shares and (1,168, 1,229) for black shares.

p < .05;

^**

p < .01;

^***

p < .001 (two-tailed tests)