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. 2015 Oct 13;373(2052):20140164. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0164

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© 2015 The Authors.

Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.

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Figure 2. — Percentage of CMIP5 model simulations that have a September Arctic sea-ice cover below 1 million km² for any particular year. For each scenario, the number in brackets indicates the number of simulations that were available in the CMIP5 archive. The orange dashed line represents the range of 2040–2060 during which the Arctic becomes ice-free in five selected models [10].