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. 2015 Sep 28;112(41):12723–12728. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1512542112

Table S1.

Major forces driving LULC change in association with IPCC SRES scenarios and population growth

Driving force IPCC SRES scenarios (6) for United States until 2050
A1B A2 B1
Population growth (global and United States) (27) Medium. Globally, 8.7 billion by 2050, then declining; in the United States, 385 million by 2050 High. Globally, 15.1 billion by 2100; in the United States, 417 million by 2050 Medium. Globally, 8.7 billion by 2050, then declining; in the United States, 385 million by 2050
Economic growth Very high. US per-capita income $72,531 by 2050 Medium. US per-capita income $47,766 by 2050 High. US per-capita income $59,880 by 2050
Regional or global orientation Global Regional Global
Technological innovation Rapid Slow Rapid
Energy sector Balanced use Adaptation to local resources Smooth transition to renewable
Environmental protection Active management Local and regional focus Protection of biodiversity

Note: The IPCC SRES scenarios were used in this study because the new IPCC “Representative Concentration Pathways” (RCPs) were not available at that time when our study had been already conducted for more than 3 y.