Table S1.
Driving force | IPCC SRES scenarios (6) for United States until 2050 | ||
A1B | A2 | B1 | |
Population growth (global and United States) (27) | Medium. Globally, 8.7 billion by 2050, then declining; in the United States, 385 million by 2050 | High. Globally, 15.1 billion by 2100; in the United States, 417 million by 2050 | Medium. Globally, 8.7 billion by 2050, then declining; in the United States, 385 million by 2050 |
Economic growth | Very high. US per-capita income $72,531 by 2050 | Medium. US per-capita income $47,766 by 2050 | High. US per-capita income $59,880 by 2050 |
Regional or global orientation | Global | Regional | Global |
Technological innovation | Rapid | Slow | Rapid |
Energy sector | Balanced use | Adaptation to local resources | Smooth transition to renewable |
Environmental protection | Active management | Local and regional focus | Protection of biodiversity |
Note: The IPCC SRES scenarios were used in this study because the new IPCC “Representative Concentration Pathways” (RCPs) were not available at that time when our study had been already conducted for more than 3 y.